Christmas Holiday Break:
Dear Traders,
There will be no signal service during our Christmas holiday break between December 25 and January 4.
Our signal service will be resumed on January 4.
The MaiMarFX Team
Dear Traders,
The euro dropped in early Asia trading after Catalan separatists won the snap election in the region, reflecting once again Catalonia’s desire for independence from Spain. We were able to benefit from the downward move as our short trade hit the larger profit target at 1.1818. As long as the euro remains above 1.1760 we maintain a neutral stance in the EUR/USD. On the upside, a break above 1.1925 could spark some bullish momentum towards 1.1970.
The U.S. dollar slightly weakened against most of its major peers on the back of an unexpected downgrade of the third-quarter U.S. GDP, but the market’s reaction was muted in thin pre-holiday trade. The PCE deflator along with Durable Goods Orders is scheduled for release today at 13:30 UTC but with many market participants already being offline ahead of the Christmas holiday we do not expect larger market swings.
The pound sterling continued to trade within a narrow sideways trading range between 1.3390 and 1.3330 and thus, none of our yesterday’s entries was triggered.
U.K. Q3 GDP figures are scheduled for release at 9:30 UTC but no changes are expected. We expect GBP/USD to trade between 1.3450 and 1.3250 in the near-term.
We wish all traders and readers Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year 2018!
Christmas Trading Break: There will be no signal service during our Christmas holiday break between December 25 and January 4. Our signal service will be resumed on January 4.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
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We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Dear Traders,
The British pound ended the trading day unchanged against the U.S. dollar after it fell to a low near 1.3330. The greenback on the other side, strengthened against most of its peers Tuesday with the exception of the euro. Investors awaited the final votes on the U.S. tax-cut legislation with the House taking another vote on the tax bill this morning.
Once the tax bill is behind us, investors will assess how the bill will impact the U.S. economy in the longer run. While the dollar could receive some fresh boost as investors anticipate the tax bill to add growth in the near-term, the longer-term impact on the economy is less certain.
The EUR/USD broke above 1.1825 and rose towards 1.1850. Whether we will see a run for 1.19 remains to be seen and hinges on the risk appetite for euros amid the year-end liquidity drain. Above 1.1865 we expect further gains towards 1.1920.
The GBP/USD remained within a sideways trading range between 1.3420 and 1.3330.
BoE Governor Carney speaks at a Parliament Hearing in London today at 13:15 UTC. If the pound breaks above 1.3420 we anticipate further gains towards 1.3470. If the pound however drops below 1.3340 it could head for a re-test of the 1.33-support.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
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We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Dear Traders,
Both euro and British pound slightly recovered against the U.S. dollar at the beginning of this week. Yesterday’s upward movements contribute to keeping the current sideways trading range in both currency pairs EUR/USD and GBP/USD intact.
While we do not expect larger market swings in these final trading days we focus on the technical picture and its crucial support and resistance zones.
EUR/USD: The euro rose above 1.18 but rejected the 1.1835-level. We will now focus on a trading range between 1.1825 and 1.1750. If the euro breaks above 1.1825 we expect further gains towards 1.19. On the downside, we see current support levels at 1.1750 and 1.17.
The German IFO Index is scheduled for release at 9:00 UTC but this report is not expected to have a significant impact on the euro.
GBP/USD: The pound advanced and marked an intraday high at 1.3418. However, as long as we see the cable trading between 1.3475 and 1.3275 we will not pay much attention to the current price action.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
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We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Dear Traders,
Heading into the final trading days of 2017, volatility is expected to remain low in the run-up to the Christmas holiday. There are no significant drivers or market-moving data releases on the economic calendar which is why we recommend taking a cautious approach to new investments now.
The British pound fell to a low of 1.3301 last Friday on risks of a hard Brexit. The second phase of Brexit negotiations between the U.K. and EU will be even harder than the first and investors are skeptical that U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May will achieve a soft landing when U.K. leaves the EU in 2019.
GBP/USD
While we currently favor a sideways trading range between 1.3480 and 1.3280 the risk appears to be tilted to the downside. If the pound falls below 1.3260 we expect further losses towards 1.32. However, even if larger movements are unlikely given the liquidity drain, traders should always expect the unexpected.
EUR/USD: The euro was little changed with the crucial support at 1.17 remaining intact. As long as the euro trades between 1.1920 and 1.17/1.1660 there is nothing new to report.
The economic calendar is relatively quiet this week. The U.S. GDP report (Thursday) may receive some attraction even though no surprises are expected. Traders may also keep an eye on the PCE Index and Durable Goods Orders (Friday) but all these reports might be of less importance as the year draws to a close.
Sterling traders may listen to comments from Bank of England Governor Mark Carney on Wednesday when he speaks at a Parliament Hearing in London.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Dear Traders,
With all major risk events now behind us, there was little movement in the market Thursday as many market participants around the globe are gradually leaving for the Christmas holidays. Given the seasonal liquidity drain we recommend taking profits at smaller targets now or staying on the sidelines, considering a trading break around this period.
The euro weakened against the U.S. dollar after ECB President Mario Draghi sounded cautious about the prospect of higher inflation in the coming months even though the economic outlook remains positive. The ECB unveiled updated economic projections that showed continued growth over the next three years but despite that positive outlook, the central bank is not planning to raise rates anytime soon. In a nutshell, with the ECB still being far from raising rates, euro bulls did not see a reason to push the euro higher -at least not for the time being.
The pound was little changed following the Bank of England’s monetary policy announcement. As expected, the BoE left interest rates unchanged and following the latest BoE rate hike in November, the central is not expected to raise rates in the coming months.
GBP/USD: In short-term time frames we expect the currency pair to trade between 1.35 and 1.33.
EUR/USD: The 1.17-support remains in focus and if the euro drops below that important barrier, we expect further losses towards 1.16. Above 1.1930 however, the euro could head for 1.2050.
We wish you a beautiful and peaceful pre-Christmas period.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Dear Traders,
It’s decision day at the Federal Reserve and what makes this final policy decision of the year a significant meeting is not the anticipated rate hike, but the monetary policy outlook for 2018. While the market is certain of a third 2017 hike, the focus will turn to forecasts for the pacing through 2018. We will therefore keep an eye on the dot-plot in order to shape expectations for next year’s rate hike path. If the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) projects another three or possibly even four rate hikes ahead, the dollar will further rally. However, it is very unlikely that the Fed surprises the market and accelerates its pace. Hence, there is a risk of disappointment today, which could lead to a sell-off in the dollar. We recommend preparing for heightened volatility during the entire North American trading session, while most price action will take place around the FOMC decision and press conference, as well as the CPI reading that will be due before the rate decision.
For Fed Chair Janet Yellen it will be her final quarterly press conference before she steps down in February. It is therefore unlikely that she will signal any new prospects on the Fed’s guidance.
13:30 USD Consumer Price Index (CPI)
19:00 USD FOMC Rate Decision
19:30 USD Yellen Holds Press Conference
(Time zone UTC)
Yesterday’s price performance in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD was not to our liking as both currency pairs failed to pick a clear direction despite the broad-based strength in the USD. Technically speaking, the picture has not changed.
GBP/USD: The cable refrained from a break below 1.33 and we currently focus on a price range between 1.3450 and 1.3220. Yesterday’s better-than-expected U.K. inflation data failed to lift up the currency but if investors take profit on dollar positions today, we could finally see some corrective movements driving the pair higher before the holiday liquidity drain.
EUR/USD: The euro remained well above 1.17 and as long as there is no clear break below 1.1680 the euro could head for another test of 1.1790. Below 1.1680 we focus on lower targets at 1.1640 and 1.16.
We wish you good trades for today.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Dear Traders,
It has been a relatively quiet start to an eventful trading week with the U.S. dollar slightly strengthening against the pound and the euro ahead of the FOMC meeting. The British pound tumbled towards 1.3330 as Brexit optimism fades. While short traders of the GBP/USD were able to book some profit yesterday, the EUR/USD traded little changed and none of our daily signal entries was triggered.
Today’s focus will shift to the U.K. Consumer Price Report due at 9:30 UTC. If inflation comes in higher than forecast, the pound could find its way back towards 1.3430 and 1.3490. As long as the 1.33-support remains intact, we could see some bullish pullback. If 1.33 breaks we expect further losses towards 1.3220.
From the Eurozone, we have the German ZEW Survey scheduled for release at 10:00 UTC.
The EUR/USD is currently tilted to the downside and if the currency pair is unable to break the 1.18- threshold significantly, we expect the euro to test the 1.17-level.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Dear Traders,
It’s payrolls day again and today’s U.S. jobs numbers could matter more than usual as investors assess the possibility of a steeper Federal reserve rate hike path in 2018. While the Fed has established a commitment to gradual monetary policy pacing even under the chairmanship of Mr. Powell, job and wage growth will shape the expectations for 2018 tightening. The central bank is expected to endorse a wait-and-see approach in the first half of the next year after a last rate hike in 2017, which is widely expected to be announced on next week’s Fed meeting.
In short, there is a greater risk of disappointment than an upside surprise when coming to the latest job numbers. If job growth comes in below expectations amid slowing wage growth, the dollar will give up its recent gains. If today’s NFP report surprises to the upside, the dollar will continue to rise amid progress on the tax-cut legislation.
Traders around the world will watch the NFP release at 13:30 UTC.
GBP/USD: The pound rose against the dollar on speculation that Ireland and Britain were close to a Brexit deal. U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May will have time until Sunday to resolve the deadlocked Brexit talks. The GBP/USD jumped back towards 1.3520 after it found support at 1.3320. With the pound trading above 1.3330 we now expect the pair to head for a test of 1.3630/50.
EUR/USD: The euro further declined against the greenback and appears to be headed for a test of the falling trendline of its recent downtrend channel. We anticipate a crucial support area between 1.1740 and 1.1710 and if that threshold remains intact we could see some pullback towards 1.1805 and possibly 1.1850.
We wish you profitable trades for today and a cozy and relaxing winter weekend.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Dear Traders,
The British pound further weakened and we got what we were looking for in yesterday’s analysis: a breakout of a symmetrical triangle even if it was a relatively small bearish breakout with losses being limited to a low of 1.3357. If the pound remains below 1.34 we expect further bearish momentum driving GBP/USD towards 1.33. For the short-term bias to shift from bearish to slightly bullish it would need a sustained break above 1.35. A higher target would then be at 1.3650.
There was little movement in the EUR/USD Wednesday while none of our entries was triggered. The euro dropped below 1.18 but found some halt at 1.1780. Whether we will see further losses towards 1.17 remains to be seen and hinges on the risk appetite for dollars ahead of tomorrow’s NFP report. For bullish momentum to accelerate it would require a break above 1.1920.
ECB President Mario Draghi will hold a press conference as Chair of the Group of Governors and Head of Supervision (GHOS) today at 16:00 UTC. If he touches on monetary policy the euro could respond with some volatile swings.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
We are Maite & Marios Krausse, both born in Germany and trade full time in the Foreign Exchange Market (Forex) as independent traders.
Our teamwork began in 1998, when we got to know and love each other. 20 years later after having built our careers, our son was born, making us a happy family. Continue reading...
