GBP/USD: Highly Profitable Trading
Dear Traders,
Those of you who traded the GBP/USD recently, were able to achieve a significant profit by trading our daily signal alerts. Yesterday, this was once more the case while our short trade hit the profit target in less than five minutes. The pound slid to a low of 1.2602 after Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said he is still worried about the impact of Brexit on the economy. Carney said in yesterday’s morning statement that now is not the time to hike rates. In short, his view is still very bearish and with Brexit negotiations having just begun it could be a bumpy road for the U.K. in the next months. In case of any bad headlines, the pound will fall but looking at the technical picture, we currently see chances of a, at least short-term, recovery from sterling’s low levels.
GBP/USD
The currency pair stopped its fall at the lower bound of its recent downward channel. While this does not necessarily mean that further losses are unlikely, that halt just increases the likelihood of a potential pullback towards 1.27 and 1.28. Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaches oversold territory, underpinning the chances of short-term upward movements. If the pound drops however below 1.2590 we expect accelerated bearish momentum towards 1.2550 and 1.25.
The performance of the EUR/USD is lagging behind since price fluctuations narrowed. The euro declined on the back of a slightly stronger U.S. dollar but the decline was limited to a low of 1.1118. We will now pay attention to a break of 1.11. After the 1.1075-level has been breached, we could see the euro tumbling towards 1.1020. Current resistances are however seen at 1.1150 and 1.12.
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We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Euro And Cable Remain Sideways
Dear Traders,
The U.S. dollar advanced against its major peers Monday after hawkish comments from Federal Reserve President Dudley provided some relief for dollar bulls. The EUR/USD fell to a low of 1.1140 but refrained from testing the lower 1.11-support level, at least for the time being. Unfortunately, we had to record one false breakout with our long entry at 1.1210 before the downward movement has finally proved profitable. Given the current low-volatility environment, we expect the EUR/USD to remain confined to a range between 1.1230 and 1.11. If the pair dips below 1.11 we could see further losses towards 1.1030. A sustained break above 1.12, however, could send the pair higher towards 1.1280.
The GBP/USD traded sideways while a break above 1.2810 proved only short-lived. Sterling traders will watch Bank of England governor Carney’s speech today at 7:30 UTC. If Carney touches on monetary policy the pound could be vulnerable to some volatile swings. We bear in mind that U.K. inflation has increased above the BoE’s 2 percent goal putting pressure on policymakers to reduce some of the central bank’s stimulus. If Carney begins to express a hawkish stance the pound could rise. Technically we are now waiting for price breakouts either above 1.2820 or below 1.2720.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
GBP/USD Ignores Dollar Strength After BoE’s Surprise Divison
Dear Traders,
The market digests the Fed’s hawkish policy shift and sends the U.S. dollar higher. The euro declined on the back of a strengthening dollar and thus, EUR/USD headed towards the lower barrier of its recent sideways trend channel. We now expect a next support to come in at 1.11 and 1.1070. Current resistance levels are however seen at 1.12/1.1225.
While the EUR/USD was the best performer for day traders Thursday, the GBP/USD went on a roller coaster ride after the Bank of England’s split came as a surprise for sterling traders. The pound rose against the dollar after a surprise division within the BoE’s monetary policy committee, with three members of the MPC voting for a rate increase. Given this hawkish shift despite the uncertainty that follows last week’s U.K. election, a rate hike may be closer than the market currently expects. The pound rose towards 1.28 in an initial reaction to the MPC statement. A break above 1.2820 may send the pound higher towards 1.2860 while a sustained rally in the GBP/USD might be difficult given the renewed strength in the USD. Sterling bears may however wait for a renewed break below 1.2720 in order to sell pounds towards 1.2650.
Having gained a good profit this week we recommend securing your weekly profits today.
Have a wonderful weekend!
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Hawkish Fed Surprises
Dear Traders,
Incredible but true: The U.S. dollar finally ended the trading day unchanged against the euro and British pound after it came under strong selling pressure following the weak U.S. inflation report. Market participants sold dollars ahead of the FOMC decision on speculation the Fed could forgo raising interest rates again this year. Weaker than anticipated inflation figures have led to the assumption the Fed may grow less hawkish but the opposite happened. The Fed statement was overly hawkish with Fed Chair Janet Yellen noting that the Fed continues to see conditions favorable in place for inflation to rise. Policy makers maintained their outlook for one more hike in 2017 and set out some details of the central bank’s plans to reduce its balance sheet. While U.S. economic data came in on the negative side most recently, it is difficult for the market to trust more the Fed’s rhetoric than the current data output. This fact limited the greenback’s strength and led to an almost unchanged picture.
We went long in both currency pairs EUR/USD and GBP/USD ahead of the Fed statement but gains were limited to smaller targets with the upward trend failing to be sustained.
The euro reversed shy of 1.13 and preferred trending around 1.12. As long as there is no sustained breakout either above 1.1285 or below 1.11, the technical picture in the EUR/USD remains unchanged favoring a sideways trend.
The cable took a glimpse above 1.28 but was unable to hold onto this high level. Sterling traders will watch today’s Bank of England policy decision at 11:00 UTC. While the BoE is unlikely to change its policy, attention will be paid to the central bank’s future guidance. A neutral stance might be considered as positive for the pound whereas a dovish stance could increase the pressure on the pound.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Pound’s Upward Movement Could Be Limited
Dear Traders,
It has been a profitable trading day for sterling bears and so we were able to benefit from the fall in the pound while our short trade has hit all profit targets. The pound slid to a low of 1.2638 on political uncertainty following last week’s snap election.
The most important piece of U.K. data will be the Consumer Price report scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC. CPI data is expected to print 2.7 percent in May, unchanged from the prior month. A disappointing CPI figure could however increase the pressure on the pound.
GBP/USD
Watch out for higher resistances. From a technical perspective, there could be an upper barrier at around 1.2730/40, a level from where sellers may take the opportunity to sell pounds. If that barrier proves correct, we will shift our focus to the 1.2635-mark. A break of that support level may result in a steeper slide towards 1.2530.
The euro traded more or less unchanged against the U.S. dollar on Monday. Germany’s ZEW survey, due for release at 9:00 UTC will draw euro traders’ attention. However, given the euro’s recent sideways trading range, gains might be limited until 1.1270/80.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Euro And Pound Steady Ahead Of FOMC Decision
Dear Traders,
The British pound stabilized above 1.27 after touching a fresh low at 1.2635 on Friday. It seems that sterling at least temporarily reached bottom after Prime Minister Theresa May’s Conservative Party unexpectedly lost the majority in Thursday’s U.K. election. This makes Brexit negotiations with the EU more difficult, leading to new complications in the U.K. The Bank of England will decide on monetary policy on Thursday but BoE policy makers are in no position to alter their course in the near-term. Sterling traders shall pay attention to the U.K. Consumer Price Index, scheduled for release on Tuesday. As long as GBP/USD trades above 1.27, we anticipate some upward movements towards 1.2850 and possibly even 1.2950. A significant decline below 1.27 could however open the door for further losses towards 1.26 and 1.24.
The highly anticipated FOMC decision on Wednesday is expected to end with a rate hike. How the U.S. dollar will trade, hinges however on the Fed forecasts for the second half of 2017. If the Federal Reserve calls for three rate hikes this year despite recent disappointing U.S. economic data outcomes, the greenback could strengthen. However, given the low probability the Fed will embark on an aggressive tightening cycle, traders should prepare for a weakening dollar, especially ahead of U.S. inflation data due to be released on Wednesday.
The EUR/USD traded little changed between 1.1215 and 1.1165. Technically, the recent sideways trading range is still unbroken and as long as there is no breakout either above 1.1285 or below 1.11, there is nothing new to report.
From the Eurozone, the most important piece of economic data will be the German ZEW survey scheduled for release on Tuesday morning.
With no major market drivers and given the typical seasonal lull in market activity, we do not expect exaggerated currency moves.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
Profitable Trading Day For Sterling Bears
Dear Traders,
What a trading day – at least for sterling traders that sold pounds on the initial exit polls. Before we start to explain the reason for sterling’s knee-jerk decline let us allow to be enthusiastic about our short trade which has hit the profit target of 140 pips within less than one minute after initial results showed the U.K. faces a hung parliament. We hope that many of you were also able to capture the profitable downward move in the GBP/USD, even though some orders may have got triggered a few pips lower due to high slippage.
In sum, the U.K. vote is a disaster for Theresa May as the ruling Conservative Party is falling short of an overall majority. A hung parliament is considered a nightmare scenario for sterling investors as the U.K.’s course and Brexit path are much more uncertain now. We remember that Prime Minister Theresa May has called this snap election to win a comfortable majority but the opposite happened: the Conservatives are losing seats instead of winning seats. Consequently, May lost her bet. She will now need to resign or try to form a new government.
The pound dropped as much as 2.5 percent on the new round of political uncertainty. The 1.27-level served as a short-term support but if the pound drops below 1.2690 we could see further losses towards 1.26 and 1.24. If the pound climbs back above 1.28, we expect a resistance to come in at 1.2850 and 1.29.
The ECB decision and testimony from former FBI director Comey did little to impact the price action in the euro and U.S. dollar. The EUR/USD traded slightly lower on Comey’s testimony but remained within a narrow trading range between 1.1265 and 1.1180. As long as the euro remains confined to a sideways range of 1.1285 – 1.1150, there is nothing new to report.
With no major risk events being on tap today, the price action could be muted.
Have a good weekend and remember to secure your weekly profits.
Daily Forex signals:
Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.
View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/
Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/
We wish you good trades and many pips!
Any and all liability of the author is excluded.
Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.
We are Maite & Marios Krausse, both born in Germany and trade full time in the Foreign Exchange Market (Forex) as independent traders.
Our teamwork began in 1998, when we got to know and love each other. 20 years later after having built our careers, our son was born, making us a happy family. Continue reading...
