EUR/USD Remains Below 1.18, GBP/USD Faces 1.33

Dear Traders,

The euro ended the trading day virtually unchanged against the U.S. dollar after a bullish reversal towards 1.18 has proved short-lived. We now expect the EUR/USD to trade lower towards 1.1680 unless we see a sustained break above 1.18 and farther 1.1840, which would shift the bias in favor of the bulls.

The GBP/USD followed its short-term upward trend channel (see yesterday’s analysis) and rose to a high of 1.3280. If the cable is able to hold above 1.32 we expect further gains towards 1.3310 and possibly even 1.3325. But irrespective of the technical outlook, any new Brexit headlines or speculation about the Brexit progress will affect the cable’s price action in the near-term.

Sterling traders should keep an eye on the Bank of England testimony at 10:00 UTC. Several BoE officials are scheduled to testify before Parliament and if there are indications of further monetary policy normalization in 2018, the pound could soar.

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen is scheduled to speak later today at 23:00 UTC but her comments may have little impact on the greenback’s price action as she announced her retirement from the Fed in February after Jerome Powell has been sworn into office.

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