Despite better than-expected U.S. economic data the greenback refused to trade higher versus its major peers – this was at least the case in the EUR/USD and GBP/USD. Having already fully discounted a Federal Reserve rate hike in December, investors will now wait for fresh hints about the future rate hike path before entering new long-term positions.
The euro traded sideways and, as expected, the currency pair remained confined to a trading range of nearly 100 pips. While the support at 1.0560 is still intact the euro might tend to test the 1.0715-resistance level, before resuming its overall downtrend. However, if the euro is unable to trade above 1.0670 we will shift our focus to a renewed break below 1.0580.
The cable remained stuck between 1.2530 and 1.2385. A break above 1.2530 may send the pound slightly higher towards 1.2550 but for the pound to rise towards higher targets this resistance level must be significantly breached in order to ignite fresh bullish potential. On the downside we will keep an eye on a break below 1.24.
The Bank of England publishes the results of its annual bank stress tests alongside its Financial Stability Report at 7:00 UTC. Following the report, BoE Governor Mark Carney will hold a press conference, so sterling traders should keep an eye on the price development as the pound might be vulnerable to volatile swings.
From the Eurozone we have the German Unemployment Report scheduled for release at 8:55 UTC, followed by Eurozone CPI data at 10:00 UTC. Chances are that these reports will have a positive impact on the euro, pushing it towards 1.0715. Furthermore, ECB President Mario Draghi speaks in Madrid at 12:30 UTC.
Last but not least, it should be worth watching the release of upcoming U.S. data, such as the ADP report due at 13:15 UTC, PCE numbers at 13:30 UTC and the Fed’s Beige Book at 19:00 UTC.
So it could be an interesting trading day with hopefully profitable trading chances.
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