Forex Market Unfazed By North Korea Provocations

Dear Traders,

There was not much to gain for daytraders yesterday or, more explicitly, the Forex market was unfazed by the developments on the North Korea front. Following North Korea’s nuclear test and latest provocative actions, there was an increasing demand for safe havens such as Gold but on the currency front, there was no clear trend on Monday. In recent times, markets generally tend to ignore large risks, rather, they are betting against them. Whether this behavior is an underestimation or the right preparation remains to be seen.

EUR/USD hovered around 1.19 but with US markets closed for a holiday, insufficient liquidity hindered the currency pair to rally. We now focus on the short-term resistance at 1.1920. If the pair is able to break through that barrier, we expect higher targets at 1.1960 and possibly even another run for 1.20. On the bottom side, traders should pay attention to a break below 1.1860. A lower target could then be at 1.1825, followed by 1.1785.

GBP/USD trended lower but remained well above 1.29. As noted in yesterday’s analysis, the cable would need to break significantly below 1.29 in order to invigorate fresh bearish momentum. As long as 1.29 remains unbroken we favor a neutral stance in this pair. A break above 1.2960 could encourage buyers for another test of 1.30.

The U.K. Services PMI is scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC.

From the U.S., we have Durable Goods Orders due for release at 14:00 UTC but this report is not expected to have a significant impact on the greenback.

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