Is The Pound Poised For Further Price Gains?

Dear Traders,

The U.S. dollar continued to weaken against the British pound and euro. Investors have been looking for further details on Trump’s plans to boost growth and government spending but there are no specific details given yet. In the long term however, this does not mean that the dollar rally is over. The greenback might continue its weakness on the lack of certainty but if president Trump delivers on his economic promises the dollar could quickly recover. Some economists, however, forecast the strong dollar to continue and even expect the dollar to reach parity with the euro by the end of the year. Let us wait to be surprised.

The euro still remained within its recent uptrend channel, albeit with a slight extension to a high of 1.0773. Yet, there was no bullish breakout and we will focus on prices above 1.0775 in order to buy euros towards 1.08/1.0850. A current support is however seen at 1.0660/50. The German and Eurozone PMI reports are scheduled for release at 8:30 and 9:00 UTC but we do not expect these reports to have a major impact on the euro.

The pound sterling knew only one direction: upwards. The pound headed for a test of its resistance zone around 1.2550 and it will now be interesting whether there is still room for further gains. Above 1.2570 we expect the pound to head for 1.2640 and 1.2690. How sterling will trade today also hinges on the U.K. Supreme Court ruling on the Parliament’s role in Brexit. It is expected that the High Court will vote in favor of Parliament’s approval in triggering Article 50. This decision may send the pound even higher. The ruling will be announced at 9:30 UTC and traders should prepare for volatile swings in the GBP/USD. Whatever the case, if the pound drops back below 1.24, we expect bearish momentum to accelerate.

From the U.S. we have Existing Home Sales due for release at 15:00 UTC but this report is unlikely to have a significant impact on the greenback.

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