After several days of sluggish price fluctuations, yesterday has proved to be a profitable trading day in particular for short traders of the EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
The British pound continued its slide versus the U.S. dollar on the back of worse-than-expected U.K. inflation data. The annual CPI fell to 2.4 percent from 2.5 percent while the core CPI fell to 2.1 from 2.3 percent. Lower inflation could keep interest rates lower for longer with the Bank of England being in no rush to tighten monetary policy sooner rather than later. Thus, BoE rate hike expectations are pushed back to November.
The pound marked a fresh support at 1.3305 from where a slight recovery started. As long as pullbacks are limited to 1.34 and 1.3450, sterling bears might retain control.
The euro fell below 1.17 after the weak PMI reading put further pressure on the single currency. We now focus on the 1.1810-level which could act as a short-term resistance. A break below 1.1650 could open the door for further losses towards 1.1620 and 1.1550.
The FOMC Minutes had only a limited impact on the dollar’s price action. With the markets widely anticipating a Fed rate hike in June the minutes were not expected to reveal anything new. The only note in the statement that weighed on the dollar was that “it was premature to conclude that inflation would remain at levels around 2 percent”.
Today we have U.K. Retail Sales scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC. Furthermore, BoE Governor Mark Carney is scheduled to speak at the BoE Markets Forum in London.
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