Relief Rally After Sell-Off?

Welcome to a new trading week. The demand for riskier assets is taking a hit amid a new surge in covid-19 cases and uncertainty concerning the new omicron strain. Investors fled into save havens as volatility spiked. Early reports from parts of Africa suggest that the strain could be more contagious than previous variants but the impact on health may not be as severe. Investors now wait for more clarity around the consequences of omicron. However, the market got used to trade covid variants and prices touched all-time highs when the fog is clearing. Traders should thus expect the same for omicron.

The U.S. dollar remains in the spotlight this week as the U.S. November NFP report on Friday will likely further fuel expectations of faster Federal Reserve tapering. An upbeat report could keep the dollar rally going.

GBP/USD – Time for a reversal?

From a technical perspective, the pair seems to be ready for a recovery after hitting 1.33 and entering oversold territory. As long as the cable remains above 1.3250 and even better above 1.33, we see chances of a leg up with a first higher target seen at 1.35 followed by 1.36.


DAX – Falling like a stone

After last week’s sharp sell-off that sent the DAX tumbling below the 16000-mark, the index only found some halt at the next crucial 15000-mark. Whether that support holds, remains to be seen and depends on investor’s risk-off mood. If 15000 breaks, we see a next support at 14800 followed by 14500. On the upside, a next resistance comes in at 15800.

Have a good week everyone.


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