The fragility of the European Union is back in the spotlight and there seems to be nothing that could stop the euro from falling. The euro broke below crucial support levels against the U.S. dollar and fell to the weakest level in ten months. Whether the euro will extend its tailspin towards 1.1420 or even 1.1350 remains to be seen and hinges on the risk aversion in the market. As soon as risk aversion gives way to a greater risk appetite, the euro may find the strength to recover some of its losses.
The same applied to the British pound, which fell victim to increased risk aversion in the market and dropped towards $1.32. As long as the cable remains below 1.33 we focus on a lower target at 1.3180/70. On the topside, we see a current resistance at 1.3350. For sterling bears, Tuesday has been a very profitable trading day with our short signal providing twice a good profit.
The focus now turns to U.S. data such as the GDP report, scheduled for release today at 12:30 UTC. Greater attention, however, will be paid to the U.S. NFP report Friday. Today’s ADP Employment Change (12:15 UTC) could provide a foretaste of what to expect on Friday.
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