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GBP/USD: Upcoming Breakout?

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Dear Traders,

The U.K.’s formal triggering of Brexit has proved to be a non-event for traders. The market showed little reaction to the Article 50-trigger with the pound trading consolidated between 1.2480 and 1.2385. However, the GBP/USD remains a sell on rallies against the background of uncertain prospects for the U.K. economy and, in a countermove, the Federal Reserve’s tightening path.

GBP/USD

In short-term time frames, chances are in favor of upcoming breakouts given the symmetrical triangle. A break above 1.2465 could push the pound towards higher targets at 1.25 and 1.2560, whereas a break below 1.2420 may reinvigorate bearish momentum towards 1.2340.

The U.S. dollar received some support from fresh hawkish Fed comments particularly from Fed President Eric Rosengren who was in favor of a total of four rate hikes this year. The latest round of hawkish comments should serve as a reminder that the Fed is still the only central bank which sees the possibility for additional rate hikes in 2017 amidst a healthy economy growth.

The U.S. GDP report is scheduled for release today at 12:30 UTC and could have an impact on the dollar’s price action.

The EUR/USD traded lower following the Brexit trigger. After dropping below 1.0775 the bearish move came to a temporary halt at 1.0740. Whether we will see further losses in this pair could depend on the German Consumer Price Index, scheduled for release today at 12:00 UTC. CPI data is expected to show a slowdown and this could increase pressure on the European Central Bank to maintain its accommodative monetary policy. If the euro falls below 1.0740 it could extend its losses towards 1.07 and 1.0650. On the upper side, euro bulls may wait for a renewed break above 1.0825 in order to buy euros towards 1.0920.

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Investors’ Appetite For U.S. Dollars Will Determine This Week’s Price Action

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Dear Traders,

We welcome you the trading month of October. Even though, the last trading month has proved to be non-profitable for day traders, it was a great month for swing traders while our swing signal trades generated an overall profit of 357 pips in September. Also this month we will again provide swing- and long-term entries for subscribers to get the best out of the current market conditions.

The British pound declined gapped lower at the open of the trading week after U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May said she will start pulling the Brexit trigger in the first quarter of 2017. May made a clear statement when she said on Sunday that they “will invoke Article 50 no later than the end of March next year.” From a technical perspective the support at 1.2915 is still intact and sterling bears may wait for a break below 1.29 in order to send the pound lower towards 1.2850. A current resistance is however seen around the 1.30-level.

The euro is still trading sideways within its recent trading range between 1.1250 and 1.1150. As long as the EUR/USD remains confined to a price range between 1.1280 and 1.1130 there is nothing new to report.

The focus this week will again shift to the U.S. Payrolls report on Friday while the report is expected to show steady labor-market improvement. An upbeat result may boost the U.S. dollar as it would bolster Federal Reserve rate hike speculation before year-end.

Today’s ISM Manufacturing Survey, scheduled for release at 14:00 UTC will be important to watch. Supportive ISM data may push the dollar higher versus its counterparts.

We wish you a good start to the new week and many profitable trades.

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Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2016 Maimar-FX.

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Upward Movement To Be On Shaky Foundations?

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Dear Traders,

While we actually got the breakouts what we have been looking for, the market’s fluctuations proved to be limited to either side Monday. Sterling traders were able to pocket some profits with both long and short-entries whereas euro traders still struggle with the euro’s poor performance. The EUR/USD fluctuated between 1.1075 and 1.1015 and neither our sell attempt nor a later buy order provided a sustained profit. Consequently, euro traders will need some more patience and wait until market conditions improve.

The pound sterling climbed towards 1.31 as the leadership certainty in the U.K. provided some relief for the currency. Theresa May will be appointed as Britain’s next prime minister and even though May will have to resist pressure to rush into the Brexit negotiations, Britain’s second female prime minister is not seen in a hurry to trigger Article 50, the formal start of an EU exit.

In the meantime, it is going to be a big week for Bank of England Governor Mark Carney, who faces the U.K. parliament’s Treasury Select Committee today at 10:00 UTC, ahead of Thursday’s interest rate decision. Economists expect the BoE to cut rates by 25 basis points, which would be the first rate cut since 2009. With this in mind sterling is expected to remain under pressure ahead of Thursday’s monetary policy decision.

Furthermore, two Fed officials are scheduled to speak today around 14:00 UTC, which could influence the dollar’s performance as long as they maintain a hawkish stance.

The euro rose towards 1.11 but the technical picture has not changed significantly. Long-term swing entries are available for subscribers.

Daily Forex signals:

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2016 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co