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Euro And Pound Strengthen Amid Sideways Trend

Dear Traders,

Both euro and British pound slightly recovered against the U.S. dollar at the beginning of this week. Yesterday’s upward movements contribute to keeping the current sideways trading range in both currency pairs EUR/USD and GBP/USD intact.

While we do not expect larger market swings in these final trading days we focus on the technical picture and its crucial support and resistance zones.

EUR/USD: The euro rose above 1.18 but rejected the 1.1835-level. We will now focus on a trading range between 1.1825 and 1.1750. If the euro breaks above 1.1825 we expect further gains towards 1.19. On the downside, we see current support levels at 1.1750 and 1.17.

The German IFO Index is scheduled for release at 9:00 UTC but this report is not expected to have a significant impact on the euro.

GBP/USD: The pound advanced and marked an intraday high at 1.3418. However, as long as we see the cable trading between 1.3475 and 1.3275 we will not pay much attention to the current price action.

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Quiet Trading Over US Thanksgiving Holiday?

Dear Traders,

The market’s sentiment was recently strongly influenced by political events and while political risks in the Eurozone continue to build up, the euro went into a tailspin. With the Italian constitutional referendum coming in on December 4, the situation for the euro may deteriorate as political risks are rising across Europe.

Trump’s win seems to have reinvigorated populist sentiment across the continent and if the UK can Brexit, the US can elect Trump, it is also possible that France and Italy could pull out of the EU. In this uncertain political environment, the euro remains vulnerable to losses. However, bearing in mind that the euro is oversold in short-term time frames, we expect some corrections in the EUR/USD.

The economic calendar this week is rather light in terms of market-moving data. The U.S. Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday usually leads to low liquidity in the market, which is why we do not expect significant market movements this week. The only interesting piece of U.S. data will be Durable Goods Orders on Wednesday followed by the FOMC Meeting Minutes which are expected to confirm the hawkish tilt of the Federal Reserve. Everything else than a Fed rate hike next month would be a big surprise.

From the Eurozone, we have the PMI Report (Wednesday) and the German IFO Report (Thursday) due for release this week. Furthermore, ECB President Mario Draghi speaks at the European Parliament in Strasbourg today at 16:00 UTC.

Technically we expect the EUR/USD to trade between 1.07 and 1.0530 in the near-term while a break above 1.0720 may invigorate some bullish momentum towards 1.0770 and 1.08 whereas a break below 1.0520 would increase the pressure on the currency pair.

GBP/USD

The pound sterling dropped towards 1.23 and sterling bears are eager to see whether the cable will break below that crucial support. After a break below 1.23 we see a next lower target at 1.2150. A break above 1.2550 however, would shift the bias in favor of the bulls.

chart_gbp_usd_daily_snapshot21-11-16

From the U.K. , the only interesting piece of economic data will be the Autumn Budget Statement (Wednesday) and Friday’s GDP Report.

Daily Forex signals:

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2016 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

Is The Cable Poised For A Breakout?

Dear Traders,

Both of our major currency pairs ended the trading day virtually unchanged as there was not much consistency in the dollar’s performance Monday. The euro tested the 1.09-level on better than-expected Eurozone data. Manufacturing and Services PMI reports showed the fastest pace of economic momentum this year but this uptick was not sufficient to alter the sentiment in the EUR/USD. The euro trades on the increasing divergence in monetary policy between the U.S. and Europe and that is precisely the driver for the euro’s weakness. ECB President Mario Draghi is scheduled to speak in Berlin today at 15:30 UTC and any comments on extending the QE program beyond March could put further pressure on the euro. Before his speech the German IFO index is due for release at 8:00 UTC but this report is not expected to have a significant impact on the currency pair. Technically, we wait for a significant break above 1.0910 in order to buy euros towards 1.0950. On the downside the 1.0860-level remains in focus whereas a break below that level may drive the euro as low as 1.0830.

The pound sterling remained within a tight trading range between 1.2250 and 1.2190. We see chances of an upcoming breakout of that narrow range provided that sterling breaks above 1.2235 on the upside or respectively below 1.2190 on the downside.

chart_gbp_usd_4hours_snapshot25-10-16

Bank of England Governor Carney appears at the House of Lords economic committee today at 14:35 UTC and any comments on future monetary policy changes could have an impact on the pound.

From the U.S. we Consumer Confidence scheduled for release at 14:00 UTC, a report which could influence the dollar’s performance.

Daily Forex signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2016 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co