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GBP/USD And EUR/USD Vulnerable To Further Losses

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The best performer Tuesday was the U.S. dollar which strengthened against the euro and British pound, providing short traders in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD good profits.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played down the risk that economic growth would spur unwanted inflation in yesterday’s testimony. He noted that policy must remain accommodative for now. Powell and Secretary Janet Yellen will testify together again today in front of the Senate Banking Committee.

GBP/USD: We saw the cable breaking below the lower bound of its recent sideways range and dropping towards 1.37. Now that the pair broke below 1.3750, we anticipate further losses towards 1.3620 and possibly even 1.3570. The area between 1.3870 and 1.39 on the upside could now serve as a lower resistance.

For sterling traders, the focus now turns to U.K. CPI data this morning followed by the PMI report due at 9:30 UTC.

EUR/USD: The pair slid towards 1.1836 but refrained from a sustained break of the March low at 1.1835– at least until now. We expect that losses could be extended towards 1.18 and possibly 1.1770 before we see some rebound. For chances to shift in favor of the bulls we recommend waiting for a break above 1.1920.

DAX: After several days of unprofitable fluctuations, we were finally able to benefit from the index’s volatile swings yesterday. We first booked a profit with the DAX falling towards 14500 while a later buy order towards 14700 has also proved profitable. Remaining between 14670 and 14480 could confirm a bull flag within the DAX’s overall uptrend.

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Is The DAX Vulnerable To A Deeper Correction?

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While EUR/USD showed a slight uptrend Monday, GBP/USD lagged behind and ended the trading day unchanged. Let us see what today brings.

Today, Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will appear before the U.S. House Financial Services committee to testify on Fed and Treasury pandemic policies. Any unexpected remarks should have an impact on the U.S. dollar. The testimony is scheduled for 14:00 UTC.

DAX

The index refrained from touching the 14700 level yesterday and consequently corrected some of its gains. We now pay attention to a renewed break below 14570 which could lead to a deeper correction towards 14500 and 14400 (ellipse). Holding however above 14570, chances remain in favor of further bullish momentum towards 14900.

We wish you good trades!

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Will Powell Testimony Spark USD Volatility?

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Dear traders,

U.S. dollar selling pressure was felt across most major currency pairs with both EUR/USD and GBP/USD edging higher at the start of the week.

Volatility could pick up Tuesday with market participants eyeing Fed Chair Powell’s semi-annual congressional testimony today at 15:00 UTC. Powell is expected to reiterate the accommodative stance of the Federal Reserve and the need for more fiscal stimulus. Traders will however pay close attention to potential remarks on the Fed’s willingness to keep borrowing costs low amid the recent rise in Treasury yields. While dovish comments could lead to another stretch of dollar weakness, another potential driver of U.S. dollar volatility includes the fiscal stimulus package of $1.9 trillion proposed by President Joe Biden. If there is nothing in the way of finalizing a stimulus deal, the dollar could strengthen.

Furthermore, we have the Eurozone’s Core Inflation Rate scheduled for release at 10:00 UTC which could have a short-lived impact on euro crosses.

We wish you good trades!

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Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2021 MaiMarFX.

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Pound Rally Continues, Focus on Powell Testimony This Week

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Welcome to a new trading week.

Positive market sentiment continued as investors took comfort from positive news on vaccine efficacy. In Israel, the Pfizer Inc. and BioNTech SE Covid-19 shot appeared to stop the vast majority of recipients from infection. The anti-risk U.S. dollar turned lower amid optimism about the global recovery. The pound Sterling extended its gains until a high of 1.4052 despite its overbought trading levels. The euro traded steady between 1.21 and 1.2150.

This week investors will be monitoring Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony on Tuesday. Powell is likely to emphasize a dovish message to Congress in his testimony, stressing that now is not the time to talk about normalizing policy.

With the economic outlook brightening, nervousness about inflation is percolating. The Fed Chair could however soothe inflation concerns, acknowledging that inflation could rise but the Fed seems poised to look through any uptick in the near-term.

GBP/USD- How much further can the rally go?

The pound traded on a high note as the nearing reopening of the U.K. economy provides a tailwind for the currency. While the risk of pullbacks remains amid overbought territory, the overall uptrend could favor higher targets at 1.42 and 1.4330.  If the pound is able to stabilize above the 1.4050-barrier, we will focus on a higher target at 1.4170. For bearish momentum to accelerate we will need to see a break below 1.39. A crucial support is still seen at around 1.3750.

EUR/USD

The euro steadied above 1.21 and as long as the pair remains above 1.2050, we anticipate further gains until 1.2170 and possibly a test of 1.22-1.2215.

DAX

The index remained within a relatively narrow price range between 14050 and 13850. On the upside we will focus on a break above 14100 that could reinvigorate bullish momentum towards 14200 and maybe even spur a rally towards 14450. On the downside we see a support at 13750.

 

We wish you good trades!

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Can U.K. Inflation Numbers Finally Lift The Pound?

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Dear Traders,

The biggest story in the market was the sharp drop of the British pound as sellers have shown-up in the GBP/USD following hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. With the U.S. economy remaining in good shape despite recent worries about trade tensions, the FOMC believes that “the best way forward is to keep gradually raising the federal funds rate.” The U.S. dollar received a boost from that upbeat outlook with traders bracing for further tightening from the Fed. The market is now pricing in a 90 percent chance of a next rate hike in September and a 64 percent chance of a hike in December.

With the dollar regaining strength both euro and British pound came under increased selling pressure. The GBP/USD dropped more than 140 pips from our short entry level while the EUR/USD slid back towards 1.1650.

Today is day 2 of Powell’s testimony and traders may be looking for further gains in the dollar. We also have the U.K. June inflation numbers scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC. This will be the final piece of CPI data ahead of the BoE August rate decision so watch out for volatile movements in the GBP/USD around that important release.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

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GBP/USD: Time For Bullish Breakout?

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Dear Traders,

The euro proved unable to significantly overcome the 1.1720-hurdle, at least for now. Thus, there was nothing to gain for euro bulls at the beginning of this week. The British pound reversed shy off 1.33 and consolidated between 1.3250 – 1.3215. We may see more volatile movements today with U.K. employment numbers scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC.

GBP/USD: Chances remain in favor of a bullish break above 1.33 since the market is pricing in a 77 percent of a BoE rate hike next month. A higher target could be at 1.3360 followed by 1.3450.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is due to testify before the Senate today at 14:00 UTC. Powell is likely to reiterate that the U.S. economy is in a good shape but he will be grilled on the economic implications of trade wars. Traders should therefore keep an eye on USD crosses around his testimony.

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

British Pound Falls On Brexit Concerns

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Dear Traders,

The U.S. dollar ended the month of February higher against other major currencies such as the euro and pound sterling.

Recently, however, it was not only the dollar’s strength that drove major pairs lower. The British pound came under increased selling-pressure as U.K.’s Prime Minister Theresa May rejected a proposed Brexit draft from the EU. The document contained details about the U.K.’s exit from the EU bloc. May is due to deliver a speech tomorrow so the price action in the pound could be volatile or even messy ahead of that speech.

Today, traders will be watching the PCE Core (13:30 UTC), the Fed’s favorite inflation indicator and the Manufacturing ISM report (15:00 UTC). Furthermore, we have a second appearance from Fed Chairman Powell before the Senate Banking Committee today at 15:00 UTC, but the market could remain largely unaffected by today’s testimony.

EUR/USD: The euro dropped below 1.22 but still holds above 1.2165 which means that it finds itself within a crucial support zone. We have the Italian election on Sunday, so investors may take profits ahead of the weekend which could lead to further losses in this pair. As mentioned in previous analysis, the next crucial price level will be 1.2160 and for euro bears it would need a sustained break below that level in order to anticipate further downward momentum. A current resistance area is seen between 1.2250 and 1.23.

GBP/USD: The pound declined on Brexit concerns and we now expect a next lower target to be at 1.36. However, traders should be careful trading the pound as the price action in the pound could become messy ahead of May’s Brexit speech tomorrow. We now expect prices to accelerate between 1.40 and 1.36.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

Powell’s Speech To Be Front And Center In The Market

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Dear Traders,

There was little follow-through after the pound broke above 1.4040 but the cause for the cable’s reverse is easy to identify. In the 4-hour chart there is a falling trendline beginning at the January high which prevented sterling bulls from pushing GBP/USD beyond 1.4070. Rather, bears were swooping in around that trendline, sending the cable back towards the 1.39-support. Whether 1.39 holds, remains to be seen. If the pound drops below 1.39 we favor a bearish stance with lower targets at 1.38 and 1.3750. On the topside, we would need to see another break above 1.4050 in order to anticipate further bullish momentum.

Unlike the GBP/USD, the EUR/USD remained within a narrow trading range between 1.2355 and 1.2275.

Today’s testimony from new Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be front and center in the markets. At 13:30 UTC Powell’s Congressional Testimony will be released while Powell testifies to House Financial Services Committee at 15:00 UTC. This important event risk could have a strong impact on the dollar’s price action which is why traders should prepare for high volatility around his speech.

Powell will testify on the economy and monetary policy and if he gets specific on rate hikes and emphasizes the potential need of even 4 rate hikes this year, the dollar could rally. If he, however, refrains from providing specific guidance on what to expect from the Fed (most likely scenario before the Fed’s next meeting on March 20-21), the dollar could be losing ground against its major counterparts.

Other economic data reports will take a backseat to Powell’s speech today.

We wish you good trades!

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co