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What’s In Store For This Week?

What will be important on the fundamental docket this week?

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell will deliver his semi-annual testimony to lawmakers on Tuesday and Wednesday. His remarks will be closely watched in terms of Fed rate expectations. The U.S. dollar will rise if Powell continues to talk up further rate hikes.

On Friday, the U.S. Payrolls are expected to show slower hiring in February. However, if we see another upside surprise, the door will be open to a stronger greenback.

DAX: We finally got a price breakout, but not to the downside as initially anticipated but to the upside and towards a test of the 15650-60 region – the latest resistance area.

EUR/USD: The pair remained in a tight trading range with a crucial support lying at around 1.05 whereas a current resistance is seen at 1.07. The next high-risk event for the euro will be next week’s ECB decision (March 16).

GBP/USD: The cable’s support at around 1.19 proved to hold so far. If U.S. payrolls data come in below expectations on Friday, it could result in a positive move for the pound.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

 

Our trading ideas for today 6/3/23:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0660

Short @ 1.0620

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.2060

Short @ 1.2020

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 15630*

Short @ 15580

Settings for all trades today: Entries from 8:00 am UTC, SL 25, TP 40

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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Dovish Tilt

The U.S. dollar sold-off after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled the central bank will slow the pace of interest rate increases this month. Following four straight 75bp rate hikes, the Fed is expected to raise rates by 50bp when they meet December 13-14.

Even if Powell reiterated that rates will be going higher, the slowdown in the Fed’s rate hike path was interpreted as a dovish tilt by markets.

Regarding rate hikes, “we think that slowing down at this point is a good way to balance the risks” to the economy from inflation and slower growth, Powell said. As for the high inflation Powell added that “despite the tighter policy and slower growth over the past year, we have not seen clear progress on slowing inflation.”

Today, traders will pay attention to the PCE index due for release at 13:30 UTC.

From a technical view it seems as if there is room for another upward movement in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD.

EUR/USD: Higher targets are seen at 1.05 and 1.0580 while 1.03 could act as a support.

GBP/USD: Above 1.19, we favor the uptrend with a next target at 1.2250.

Our trading ideas for today 1/12/22:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0475

Short @ 1.0440*

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.2125

Short @ 1.2085*

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 14580

Short @ 14470

Settings for all trades today: Entries from 8:00 am UTC, SL 25, TP 40

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2022 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

Follow us on social media:

Facebook

Twitter

Instagram

U.S. Dollar’s Climb Slows

Dear Traders,

Trading has been quiet on Monday with both pairs consolidating within tight ranges. While the EUR/USD headed for a test of 1.19 providing short traders a small profit, trading the GBP/USD was a little choppy and left much to be desired.

GBP/USD: The short-side continuation proved to be a challenge in this pair after a crucial support was marked at 1.35. However, as long as the cable remains below 1.3590 we favor the downward movement.

EUR/USD: The euro was able to hold above 1.19, at least for the time being. For bearish momentum to accelerate we will wait for the price to drop below 1.1880. As mentioned in yesterday’s analysis, euro bulls should better wait for a break above 1.20.

There are no interesting reports scheduled for release today. Fed’s Chairman Powell will speak at an event in Zurich at 7:15 UTC, but his speech may have no direct impact on the dollar.

In terms of global political risk, the U.S. dollar could be moved by U.S. President Trump’s Iran deal decision today at 18:00 UTC. Trump will announce whether the U.S. will leave the 2015 Iran nuclear agreement.

 

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

Powell’s Speech To Be Front And Center In The Market

Dear Traders,

There was little follow-through after the pound broke above 1.4040 but the cause for the cable’s reverse is easy to identify. In the 4-hour chart there is a falling trendline beginning at the January high which prevented sterling bulls from pushing GBP/USD beyond 1.4070. Rather, bears were swooping in around that trendline, sending the cable back towards the 1.39-support. Whether 1.39 holds, remains to be seen. If the pound drops below 1.39 we favor a bearish stance with lower targets at 1.38 and 1.3750. On the topside, we would need to see another break above 1.4050 in order to anticipate further bullish momentum.

Unlike the GBP/USD, the EUR/USD remained within a narrow trading range between 1.2355 and 1.2275.

Today’s testimony from new Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be front and center in the markets. At 13:30 UTC Powell’s Congressional Testimony will be released while Powell testifies to House Financial Services Committee at 15:00 UTC. This important event risk could have a strong impact on the dollar’s price action which is why traders should prepare for high volatility around his speech.

Powell will testify on the economy and monetary policy and if he gets specific on rate hikes and emphasizes the potential need of even 4 rate hikes this year, the dollar could rally. If he, however, refrains from providing specific guidance on what to expect from the Fed (most likely scenario before the Fed’s next meeting on March 20-21), the dollar could be losing ground against its major counterparts.

Other economic data reports will take a backseat to Powell’s speech today.

We wish you good trades!

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co