British Pound Virtually Unchanged Ahead Of U.K. Election

Dear Traders,

The British pound gapped slightly lower after the latest terror incident in London, in which seven people were killed and 48 were injured. The attack comes just days before the June 8 general U.K. election which is considered a big event for sterling traders. The latest polls indicate the Conservatives’ lead over Labour has shrunk to between 1 and 12 percentage points, indicating a tightening race. If Prime Minister Theresa May is not getting the increased majority she is hoping for, sterling could suffer further losses.

Friday’s NFP report proved disappointing even if the May jobs data were not bad enough to curtail the expectations for a Fed rate hike this month. While the U.S. dollar remained under selling pressure, the euro benefited the most from the greenback’s weakness and rose to a high of 1.1285. It will now be interesting whether the euro is able to tackle the hurdle at 1.13. Above that level, we see a next resistance at 1.1350, whereas the 1.12-level could lend a short-term support for the euro.


In short-term time frames we see that prices narrowed, formatting a symmetrical triangle which could predict upcoming price breakouts. A break above 1.2910 could result in an upswing towards 1.2950 while a decline below 1.2850 could drive the pound lower towards 1.28.

This week’s economic calendar is fairly light in terms of market moving data. The only highlight will be the U.K. election and the European Central Bank meeting on Thursday which can be market moving events.

The service-sector ISM survey is scheduled for release today at 14:00 UTC but with the NFP report behind us, this report might not attract much attention.

In short, it could be a quiet start to the new week but let us be surprised.

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