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U.S. Dollar Falls On Healthcare Reform Failure

Dear Traders,

Yesterday’s trading was quiet for most of the day and both of our currency pairs fluctuated within narrow trading ranges. The big move occurred during the Asian session after two Republican senators said they oppose the Trump-backed healthcare reform bill, leaving it with insufficient votes for passage. The U.S. dollar fell sharply on signs the U.S. healthcare reform bill is effectively dead in its current form. Investors appear to be losing confidence in U.S. President Trump’s ability to deliver, not just on healthcare but on the rest of his revitalization agenda too.

EUR/USD surged to a high of 1.1538 and traders wonder whether the euro is on its way toward higher targets at 1.1565 and 1.1620. Let’s be surprised.

The German and Eurozone ZEW Survey are due for release at 9:00 UTC and could have a short-term impact on the euro.

GBP/USD rose in tandem with the greenback’s opponents and climbed back above 1.31. Whether the pound is able to maintain its high level remains to be seen but once 1.3120 is significantly broken, the chances are in favor of further bullish momentum. If the cable falls back below 1.3040 it could head for a test of the 1.30-support.

The U.K. Consumer Price Report scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC receives most attention and should be watched closely.

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Inflation Data To Determine Direction

Dear Traders,

Sterling traders had to bite the bullet and watch the cable’s profitable upward swing without being invested in the pound after our second buy attempt failed to provide any profits. Consequently, we are still in the red this month but we are confident that losses will be compensated as we consistently stay on the ball and remain disciplined.

The British pound rose towards 1.45 as Brexit fears are easing. A poll of U.K. voters showed 55 percent were in favor of the remain camp, while a minority of 40 percent wanted to leave the EU. Furthermore, sterling traders await the the U.K. Consumer Prices report, scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC and chances are that the inflation report is more upbeat. In case of better inflation figures, we might see the pound extending its gains towards 1.4520 and 1.4540. Above 1.4570, the currency pair could even head for a test of 1.4630. If U.K. inflation numbers fail to impress, the focus shifts to the U.S. CPI data. Below 1.4380 we expect sterling to drift lower towards 1.4340 and 1.43.

The euro ended the day unchanged against the U.S. dollar and traders must be patient and wait for an increase in volatility in order to benefit sustainably. Today’s price development will be mainly determined by the dollar’s performance and its response to the U.S. Inflation numbers, scheduled for release at 12:30 UTC. An increase in CPI data could revive the dollar’s strength and drive the pair towards 1.1250 and 1.1220. On the upside, we focus on a break above 1.1365, which may result in an upswing towards 1.14 and 1.1435.

Apart from important inflation data, some Fed officials are scheduled to speak today at 16:00 UTC, which could have a short-term impact on the dollar.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2016 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co