While Friday’s payrolls data came in below the market’s expectations it had only little impact on the performance of the U.S. dollar. Non-farm payrolls rose by 156K last month while the jobless rate ticked up to 5.0 but the small slowdown was not expected to prevent the Federal Reserve from raising rates in December. The dollar slightly weakened against its counterparts after Friday’s data but the short-term correction does not change the overall picture.
The economic calendar this week is very light in terms of market moving data. From the U.S. we only get the FOMC minutes (Wednesday) and the Retail Sales report (Friday). Moreover, the focus will be on Fed speak, here in particular on Fed chair Yellen who is scheduled to speak on Friday.
The euro remained firmly above 1.11 but gains were capped at 1.12. With no market moving data we expect the currency pair to remain confined to a trading range between 1.1250 and 1.11. Below 1.1090, however, we expect the euro to fall towards lower targets at 1.1050 and 1.0950.
The cable formatted a current trading range between 1.2450 and 1.2350. Above 1.2480 we see chances of a move towards 1.26 while a renewed break below 1.23 may invigorate further bearish momentum.
Trading could be quiet on Monday so we recommend taking profits even at smaller levels if possible.
We wish you a good start to the new week and good trades!
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