U.S. Dollar Strengthens, Trump Tax Plan Back In Focus
Dear Traders,
The U.S. dollar strengthened against its major counterparts as comments from Federal Reserve Chair Yellen and President Trump bode well for some renewed upward momentum in the greenback. Yellen boosted expectations for a rate hike in December, saying the Fed “should be wary of moving too gradually” in its rate hike cycle. The Fed does not want to surprise markets when raising rates earlier than expected and while the probability of what the market is currently pricing in is still a little bit too low, Yellen seeks to prepare markets for another rate increase this year.
Moreover, the greenback received some boost from Trump’s comments on the long-awaited tax plan. Recent comments included lowering the corporate tax rate to 20 percent from 35 percent while the individual tax rate should be lowered to 35 percent. However, full details of the tax plan have yet to be revealed. Trump is expected to announce his tax overhaul plan today during a speech in Indiana.
Furthermore, U.S. Durable Goods Orders are scheduled for release at 12:30 UTC but this report is not expected to have a major impact on the USD.
From a fundamental perspective, the dollar trade might be preferable now but traders should also pay attention to the technical picture in order to confirm the current forecast.
EUR/USD
The euro dropped below an important support area at 1.1830-1.18. As long as the pair remains well below 1.1830, we expect further losses towards 1.1730 and possibly even 1.1680. For the euro to regain some strength it would need a renewed break above 1.1865 and further 1.19. A resistance is seen at around 1.1970.
The British pound was able to hold above 1.34. If GBP/USD breaks below 1.3380 we anticipate further losses. A current resistance is however seen at 1.3550.
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