Markets were quiet Monday with both major currency pairs fluctuating within narrow ranges. Unfortunately, breakout-traders had more to lose than to gain as both euro and cable trended sideways without showing any sustained price breakout. However, this may change today with Bank of England Governor Carney outlining the central bank’s macroprudential tools to support the economy in a post-Brexit world. After signaling a willingness to cut interest rates in the near-term, the governor is set to present the financial-stability assessment today at 9:30 UTC.
The governor will give a press conference 30 minutes after the publication of the Financial Stability report. The report and Carney’s rhetoric will be main risk events for traders on Tuesday and could significant influence the pound sterling as well as the euro.
Before coming to the BoE report, Eurozone Retail Sales and U.K. PMI numbers are scheduled for release but these reports are not expected to have a significant impact on the currencies. From the U.S., we have second-tier data such as Factory and Durable Goods Orders scheduled for release at 14:00 UTC.
From a technical perspective we are still looking for breakouts above 1.3340 or below 1.3240 in the GBP/USD and respectively, above 1.1170 or below 1.1070 in the EUR/USD.
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