SVB-Zusammenbruch löst Risikoscheu aus

Willkommen zu einer neuen Handelswoche. Nach dem Zusammenbruch der Silicon Valley Bank in der vergangenen Woche sind die Renditen der US-Staatsanleihen und der Dollar abgestürzt. Der Markt befürchtet, dass erneut die Gefahr einer Ansteckung, einer Verschlechterung der Risikostimmung und einer breiteren Finanzkrise besteht. Das Finanzministerium erklärte jedoch, dass die Situation ganz anders sei als 2008. Wenn es den Behörden gelingt, die Ansteckungsgefahr einzudämmen, könnten die Renditen der Staatsanleihen und der Dollar Unterstützung finden. Es bleibt nun abzuwarten, ob der Zusammenbruch der SVB eine Kettenreaktion auslöst oder nicht.

Am Dienstag wird der US-Verbraucherpreisindex für Februar vor der Sitzung der Federal Reserve am 22. März veröffentlicht. Der Markt hatte zuvor auf eine Zinserhöhung um 50 Basispunkte getippt, hält nun aber einen Schritt um 25 Basispunkte für wahrscheinlicher. Sollten die morgigen Inflationsdaten besser ausfallen als vorhergesagt, könnte sich der jüngste Rückgang des Dollars als kurzlebig erweisen.

Am Donnerstag erwartet die Euro-Händler der nächste Zinsentscheid der Europäischen Zentralbank. Es wird erwartet, dass die EZB die Zinsen in dieser Woche um 50 Basispunkte anhebt. Vor dem Hintergrund eines schwächeren US-Dollars drängt der EUR/USD-Kurs nach oben und richtet sein Augenmerk nun auf den Widerstand bei 1,08. Oberhalb von 1,0810 könnten wir einen Ansturm auf 1,09 erleben. Auf der anderen Seite bleibt der wichtige Unterstützungsbereich um 1,05 intakt.

 

Der Inhalt des Beitrags spiegelt die persönliche Meinung des Autors wider. Dieser übernimmt für die Richtigkeit und Vollständigkeit keine Verantwortung und schließt jegliche Regressansprüche aus. Dieser Beitrag stellt keine Kauf- oder Verkaufsempfehlung dar.

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SVB-Collapse Triggered Risk Aversion

Welcome to a new trading week. U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar tumbled in the wake of Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse last week. The market fears that there is again the risk of contagion, a deteriorating risk sentiment and a broader financial crisis. However, the Treasury Department said that it is a very different situation to 2008. If the authorities are successful in corralling contagion risks, Treasury yields and the greenback may find support. It now remains to be seen whether or not the SVB’s collapse triggers a chain reaction.

On Tuesday, the U.S. consumer price index for February is due ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting on March 22. The market had previously been leaning toward a 50 bp rate hike but now sees a 25bp move more likely. If tomorrow’s inflation data shows hotter-than-forecast results, the dollar’s recent decline may prove to be short-lived.

On Thursday, euro traders will get the next European Central Bank rate decision. The ECB is expected to raise rates by 50 bp this week. On the back of a weaker U.S. dollar, the EUR/USD is pushing higher, turning the focus to the 1.08-resistance now. Above 1.0810, we may see a run for 1.09. On the flipside the crucial support area around 1.05 remains intact.

 

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

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NFP-Day

Here are our trading ideas for the release of U.S. payrolls data due at 13:30 UTC.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Our trading ideas for today 10/3/23:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0610

Short @ 1.0565

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.1970

Short @ 1.1890

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 15440

Short @ 15390

 

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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Daily Trading Ideas

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Our trading ideas for today 9/3/23:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0610

Short @ 1.0525

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.1880

Short @ 1.1830

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 15660

Short @ 15590

 

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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Profitable Trading Day

What a trading day!

Market participants rushed to reprice Federal Reserve rate hike expectations after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkishness strengthened the U.S. dollar which rose to fresh highs against its counterparts. Powell stated the ultimate rate peak is likely to higher than expected and the Fed is ready to increase the pace of rate hikes if needed. This was enough for traders to go short in the euro, cable and DAX, providing us a very good profit yesterday.

Generally speaking, the dollar looks to gain further now.

GBP/USD

The British pound looks primed for a next leg down as it attempts to break below 1.18-support. The strong bearish candle in the cable’s daily chart suggests similar.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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Was steht diese Woche an?

Was steht fundamentaltechnisch diese Woche alles an?

Der Vorsitzende der Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, wird am Dienstag und Mittwoch seine halbjährliche Anhörung vor dem Kongress abhalten. Seine Äußerungen werden im Hinblick auf die Zinserwartungen der Fed genau beobachtet werden. Der US-Dollar wird steigen, wenn Powell von weiteren Zinserhöhungen spricht.

Am Freitag wird erwartet, dass die US-Arbeitsmarktdaten im Februar einen Rückgang der Neueinstellungen zeigen werden. Sollte es jedoch zu einer weiteren positiven Überraschung kommen, steht die Tür für einen stärkeren Greenback offen.

DAX: Schließlich kam es zu einem Kursausbruch, allerdings nicht wie ursprünglich erwartet nach unten, sondern nach oben und in Richtung eines Tests der 15650-60 Region – dem jüngsten Widerstandsbereich.

EUR/USD: Das Paar blieb in einer engen Handelsspanne, wobei eine wichtige Unterstützung weiterhin bei etwa 1,05 liegt, während ein aktueller Widerstand bei 1,07 zu sehen ist. Das nächste risikoreiche Ereignis für den Euro wird die EZB-Entscheidung in der kommenden Woche (16. März) sein.

GBP/USD: Die Unterstützung bei etwa 1,19 hat sich bisher als stabil erwiesen. Sollten die U.S. Arbeitsmarktdaten am Freitag unter den Erwartungen liegen, könnte dies zu einer positiven Entwicklung des Pfunds führen.

Unsere Handelsideen für heute, den 6.3.23:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0660

Short @ 1.0620

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.2060

Short @ 1.2020

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 15630*

Short @ 15580

Einstellungen für alle Trades heute: SL 25, TP 40

Der Inhalt des Beitrags spiegelt die persönliche Meinung des Autors wider. Dieser übernimmt für die Richtigkeit und Vollständigkeit keine Verantwortung und schließt jegliche Regressansprüche aus. Dieser Beitrag stellt keine Kauf- oder Verkaufsempfehlung dar.

 

Copyright © 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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What’s In Store For This Week?

What will be important on the fundamental docket this week?

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell will deliver his semi-annual testimony to lawmakers on Tuesday and Wednesday. His remarks will be closely watched in terms of Fed rate expectations. The U.S. dollar will rise if Powell continues to talk up further rate hikes.

On Friday, the U.S. Payrolls are expected to show slower hiring in February. However, if we see another upside surprise, the door will be open to a stronger greenback.

DAX: We finally got a price breakout, but not to the downside as initially anticipated but to the upside and towards a test of the 15650-60 region – the latest resistance area.

EUR/USD: The pair remained in a tight trading range with a crucial support lying at around 1.05 whereas a current resistance is seen at 1.07. The next high-risk event for the euro will be next week’s ECB decision (March 16).

GBP/USD: The cable’s support at around 1.19 proved to hold so far. If U.S. payrolls data come in below expectations on Friday, it could result in a positive move for the pound.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

 

Our trading ideas for today 6/3/23:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0660

Short @ 1.0620

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.2060

Short @ 1.2020

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 15630*

Short @ 15580

Settings for all trades today: Entries from 8:00 am UTC, SL 25, TP 40

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

Follow us on social media:

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Daily Trading Signals

Our trading ideas for today 3/3/23:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0625

Short @ 1.0590

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.2020

Short @ 1.1940

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 15410

Short @ 15330

 

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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DAX: No Profitable Trading Chance – Until Now

Yesterday’s discussed breakout pattern in the DAX has been oriented to prices of the first candle of an inside bar pattern. This slightly extends the index’s breakout range to 15490 on the top and 15230 and the downside. We saw no profitable trading chance yesterday, so let’s see what today has in store for traders.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Our trading ideas for today 2/3/23:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0675

Short @ 1.0630

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.1990*

Short @ 1.1960

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 15280

Short @ 15240

 

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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DAX: Upcoming Breakout?

Dear traders,

Today, we see a breakout pattern in the daily DAX chart based on an inside bar candle, suggesting profitable breakouts either above 15450 or below 15280.

Let’s wait and see.

 

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

Our trading ideas for today 1/3/23:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0620

Short @ 1.0565

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.2070

Short @ 1.2035*

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 15440

Short @ 15360

Settings for all trades today: Entries from 8:00 am UTC, SL 25, TP 40

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

Follow us on social media:

Facebook

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Instagram