Entscheidende Woche

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Willkommen zu einer neuen und entscheidenden Handelswoche.

Die Märkte starteten relativ unbeeindruckt in die neue Woche, nachdem ein weiteres Attentat auf den ehemaligen US-Präsidenten Donald Trump auf seinem Golfplatz in Florida verübt wurde. Trump blieb unverletzt, während der Verdächtige in Gewahrsam ist.

Es wird allgemein erwartet, dass die US-Notenbank am Mittwoch die Zinsen zum ersten Mal seit mehr als vier Jahren um mindestens 25 Basispunkte senkt. Die Anleger konzentrieren sich jedoch darauf, was nach der FOMC-Ankündigung passieren wird.

Die Erwartung aggressiverer Zinssenkungen im weiteren Verlauf des Jahres und Anfang 2025 wächst, insbesondere nachdem ein Fed-Vertreter die Idee eines „front-loading“ von Zinssenkungen ins Spiel gebracht hat. Angesichts der schwächeren US-Daten, der sinkenden Rohölpreise und der dovischen Haltung der Fed bleibt die Prognose für das Währungspaar EUR/USD jedoch moderat bullisch, sofern es keine weiteren größeren Überraschungen gibt.

Auch die Bank von England wird am Donnerstag über ihre Geldpolitik entscheiden, aber es wird erwartet, dass sie sich vorerst zurückhält und nicht and der Zinsschraube drehen wird.

EUR/USD: Der Euro bleibt vorerst zwischen 1,11 und 1,10 gefangen. Ein Ausbruch über die Marke von 1,1110 könnte die Bullen zu einem Test der Marke von 1,1150 veranlassen, aber die Kursentwicklung könnte bis Mittwochabend träge bleiben.

GBP/USD: Wir gehen davon aus, dass das Paar auf kurze Sicht weiterhin zwischen 1,32 und 1,30 gehandelt wird. Oberhalb von 1,3210 könnten die Bullen auf einen Test von 1,33 drängen.

 

 

Der Inhalt des Beitrags spiegelt die persönliche Meinung des Autors wider. Dieser übernimmt für die Richtigkeit und Vollständigkeit keine Verantwortung und schließt jegliche Regressansprüche aus. Dieser Beitrag stellt keine Kauf- oder Verkaufsempfehlung dar.

Copyright © 2024 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

Pivotal Week

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Welcome to a new and pivotal trading week.

Markets started this new week relatively unimpressed after another assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump at his Florida golf course. Trump was unharmed while the suspect is in custody.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates for the first time in more than four years by at least 25 basis points. Investors are however focused on what will happen after the FOMC announcement

There is now growing anticipation for more aggressive rate cuts later in the year and early 2025, especially after a Fed official floated the idea of “front-loading” cuts. But with US data weakening, crude oil prices falling, and the Fed turning dovish, the EUR/USD currency pair forecast remains moderately bullish unless we see other major surprises.

The Bank of England is also due to decide on monetary policy this Thursday but it is expected to stand pat for now.

EUR/USD: The euro remains captured between 1.11 and 1.10 for now. A break above 1.1110 could prompt bulls for a test of 1.1150 but price action might remain sluggish until Wednesday evening.

GBP/USD: We expect the pair to remain trading between 1.32 and 1.30 in short-term time frames. Above 1.3210, bulls may push for a test of 1.33.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

 

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2024 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

ECB Decision: Will The Euro Dip Below 1.10?

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The U.S. dollar sharply accelerated after yesterday’s hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data and sent the EUR/USD to a test of the next lower support at 1.10, whereas the GBP/USD fell towards 1.30. The U.S. CPI report was the final significant data release before next week’s FOMC meeting where policymakers are expected to stick with the smaller 25bp rate cut.

Today we have the European Central Bank decision and ECB policymakers are unlikely to accelerate interest rate cuts in response to the weakening eurozone economy. The ECB is widely expected to implement a 25bp rate cut today.

Given the sluggish EU economy it is not looking very rosy for the euro but from a technical perspective, the recent short-term uptrend in the EUR/USD has not yet ended. Only a break below 1.0950 and further 1.09 will draw a different picture and will shift the outlook back to neutral in short-term time frames.

EUR/USD: A crucial support is seen around 1.0950 which could stop the euro from falling further. On the upside, the 1.11 hurdle will be interesting to watch and price breaks above 1.1110 and 1.1160 could reactivate bullish momentum.

 

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Our trading ideas for today 12/9/24:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.1060

Short @ 1.1015

 

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2024 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

Our Trading Ideas For Today

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What will be interesting this week?

The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates by another 25bp this Thursday. Before we come to the ECB decision we will keep an eye on the U.S. CPI, due for release on Wednesday. The U.S. dollar was able to recover some of its recent losses which is due to less-dovish Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Market participants now expect the Fed to cut rates by 25bp on September 18 and this move is already priced in.

EUR/USD: A crucial support is seen around 1.0950 which could stop the euro from falling further. On the upside, the 1.11 hurdle will be interesting to watch and price breaks above 1.1110 and 1.1160 could reactivate bullish momentum.

 

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Our trading ideas for today 10/9/24:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.1080

Short @ 1.1025

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.3130

Short @ 1.3040

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 18460

Short @ 18390

Settings for all trades today: Entries from 8:00 am UTC, SL 25, TP 40

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

NFP Trading Signals

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It’s Nonfarm Payrolls Day today and as usual, investors will keep an eye on the U.S. employment data as it provides a general sense of the market’s sentiment. A strong report may support a minimal 25 bp rate cut by the Federal Reserve, whereas weaker labour market figures could heighten the possibility of a 50 bp reduction at the FOMC September meeting.

In other words, expect some volatility at the release time at 12:30 GMT.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Our trading ideas for today 6/9/24:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.1135

Short @ 1.1080

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.3190

Short @ 1.3140

 

Settings for all trades today:  SL 25 TP 40

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2024 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

Daily Trading Signals

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Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Our trading ideas for today 4/9/24:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.1080

Short @ 1.1015

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.3160

Short @ 1.3085

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 18560

Short @ 18490

Settings for all trades today: Entries from 8:00 am UTC, SL 25, TP 20-30

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

 

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2024 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

U.S. Dollar rutscht ab

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Hallo zusammen! Wir sind zurück aus dem Urlaub und bereit, frisch und gesund in eine neue Trading-Runde zu starten.

Der US-Dollar befand sich angesichts der geopolitischen Probleme im Nahen Osten und der zurückhaltenden Haltung der Federal Reserve in einem Abwärtstrend.

So erreichten sowohl EUR/USD als auch GBP/USD aufgrund der anhaltenden Schwäche des US-Dollars Mehrmonatshochs. Der Dollar hat sich in den Sommermonaten stark nach unten bewegt, da die Händler eine eher dovischere Haltung der US-Notenbank einpreisen. Wir gehen davon aus, dass der Abwärtsdruck auf den Dollar noch anhalten wird.

EUR/USD

GBP/USD

Seit der FOMC-Sitzung im Juli hat eine Reihe von veröffentlichten Daten auf eine zunehmende Schwäche der US-Wirtschaft hingedeutet, was darauf schließen lässt, dass die Fed im September mit einer Zinssenkung beginnen wird. Die Finanzmärkte rechnen derzeit mit einer 67,5%igen Chance auf eine Senkung um 25 Basispunkte und einer 32,5%igen Chance auf eine Senkung um 50 Basispunkte.

Und nicht zuletzt hat der DAX ein neues Allzeithoch erreicht.

DAX – Wochen Chart

“The trend is our friend”. Die Höchststände am Markt sollten jedoch zur Vorsicht mahnen. Ein Blick in die Börsen- und Geldgeschichte beweist es: Jahrelang war Geld praktisch kostenlos, dann hoben die Fed und andere Notenbanken wegen der Inflation die Zinsen stark an, sodass die Zinsen seit einiger Zeit höher sind als die Inflation. Immer wenn das der Fall war, war eine Rezession die Folge. Die Gelddruckmaschine aus den Zeiten billigen Geldes wird plötzlich zu einem riesigen Problem, das die Wirtschaft einbrechen lässt. Anleger sollten daher auf der Hut sein.

 

Wenn auch Sie wissen möchten, wo wir unseren Stopp-Loss und Take-Profit setzen und ob wir an einem bestimmten Tag handeln oder nicht, sowie wie wir unsere Positionen managen, dann abonnieren Sie unseren Signalservice.

 

Wir wünschen gute Trades!

Der Inhalt des Beitrags spiegelt die persönliche Meinung des Autors wider. Dieser übernimmt für die Richtigkeit und Vollständigkeit keine Verantwortung und schließt jegliche Regressansprüche aus. Dieser Beitrag stellt keine Kauf- oder Verkaufsempfehlung dar.

Copyright © 2024 MaiMarFX.

U.S. Dollar Slides

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Hello everyone! We are back from our holidays and ready to start in a fresh and healthy manner into a new round of trading.

The U.S. dollar has been in a downtrend amid geopolitical issues in the Middle East and a dovish Federal Reserve stance.

Thus, both EUR/USD and GBP/USD have post multi-month highs fueled by ongoing U.S. dollar weakness. The greenback has moved sharply lower over the summer months as traders price in a more dovish Federal Reserve. We expect that the downward pressure on the dollar will continue.

EUR/USD – Weekly

GBP/USD – Weekly

Since the FOMC meeting in July meeting, a string of data releases has pointed to growing weakness in the US economy, suggesting that the Fed will start to trim interest rates in September. Financial markets currently price in a 67.5% chance of a 25-basis point and a 32.5% chance of a 50-basis cut.

Last but not least, the DAX has posted a new all-time high.

DAX – Weekly

 

The trend is our friend. However, the market’s high levels should also be a warning to investors. A look at stock market and monetary history proves it: for years, money was practically free, then the Fed and other central banks raised interest rates sharply due to inflation, so that interest rates have been higher than inflation for some time now. Whenever this was the case, a recession was the result. The money printing machine from the days of cheap money suddenly becomes a huge problem that causes the economy to collapse. Investors should therefore be on alert.

 

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2024 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

Summer Trading Break

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We will be taking a trading break from July 29 to the end of August and will therefore not be offering a signal service during this phase. We will be back in September.

Until then, all the best and have a great summer!

 

Wir werden vom 29.Juli bis Ende August eine Trading-Pause einlegen und bieten somit in dieser Phase auch keinen Signaldienst an. Im September sind wir wieder zurück.

Bis dahin alles Gute und einen schönen Sommer!

Expect No Fireworks At The ECB Decision

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A weakening U.S. dollar has helped both euro and pound sterling to move higher.

Also, BoE rate cut expectations have been pushed back to September as UK inflation remains sticky at 3.5 percent. The GBP/USD rose to a high of 1.3045 and as long as the pair can hold above the crucial 1.30-threshold, the next higher target at 1.3140 could be within reach.

Today, the European Central Bank will decide on its monetary policy but no rate cuts are expected from the ECB this month. Traders thus expect the euro to remain supported against the greenback and brace for higher targets at 1.0960 and 1.0980.

However, traders shouldn’t expect any fireworks today after the ECB has only delivered its first rate cut last month and with ECB President Christine Lagarde saying there will no pre-commitment to a particular rate path. Of course, we will watch out for clues about a next move but we don’t expect too much today.

 

During summer doldrums we may face quieter trading conditions. Therefore, we will not invest much, trade with smaller positions and don’t trade every day.

 

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Our trading ideas for today 18/7/24:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0965

Short @ 1.0885

 

Settings for all trades today: Entries from 8:00 am UTC, SL 25, TP 40

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

 

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2024 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co