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U.S. Dollar Strengthens on Better-Than Expected PMI Data

Dear traders,

The best performer Monday was the British pound that rallied as signs the U.K. and European Union are close to agreeing a trade deal. The latest progress in the development of a coronavirus vaccine bolstered the currency’s upward move.

Bulls in the GBP/USD profited while sterling rose to the highest level since early September. Looking ahead, the potential for progress in Brexit talks, growing optimism for a vaccine and fresh fiscal stimulus should keep the cable supported.

We bear in mind, that a Brexit deal is largely priced in to the pound, which is why a breakdown in talks would see a much larger move lower.

The euro experienced a sharp reversal after the U.S. dollar gained traction on better than expected flash PMI data. The monthly PMI report crushed market forecast as it came in at a five-year high.

From a technical perspective, not much has changed in the EUR/USD. Above 1.1920 gains may be extended towards 1.1960 whereas below 1.1790 the euro may slip towards 1.1690.

The U.S. dollar could experience bullish tailwinds in short-term time frames as robust U.S. economic data could downplay the urgency of another fiscal stimulus package or additional accommodation from the Federal Reserve.

 

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No Big Market Moves

Dear traders,

The British pound rose to a high of 1.3273 Tuesday as the U.K. and European Union edge closer to agreement on longstanding sticking points. A possible breakthrough could be announced as soon as Monday while there is still potential for the negotiations to collapse.

GBP/USD: The cable will now need to overcome the 1.33-1.3310 hurdle and if that bullish breakout happens, we will turn our focus to a higher target at 1.3480. On the downside, the 1.32-level will now play an important role and if the pound falls below 1.3190 we may see a dip toward 1.31.

No Big Market Moves

With the election uncertainty behind us, the market’s focus turned to Covid and the vaccines but we remember that wide distribution of a shot is still months away, which is why big market movements are currently missing. We may get some news on the stimulus front in the next weeks that could breathe new life into the market. We will wait and see.

EUR/USD: We still see a current resistance at 1.1940-50. If the euro, however, falls back below 1.1840 in short-term time frames it may extend losses toward 1.18 and 1.1750.

DAX: Traders should pay attention to breakouts either above 13280 or below 13000 that could generate further bullish or bearish momentum.

 

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2020 MaiMarFX.

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Euro And Pound With a Tailwind – Is The Rise Going To Continue?

Dear traders,

Basically, we got what we have been looking for – price breakouts that provided some profits for traders- even though not as big as we hoped for.

The EUR/USD broke above 1.1830 but stopped its rise at 1.1859 – for now. If the pair is able to hold above 1.18, we focus on a higher target at 1.1950. If bulls are however unable to stabilize the euro’s price above 1.1830, bears might regain control and push the pair back into its recent downtrend channel.

The GBP/USD broke above 1.31 and headed towards 1.3160 on the back of a weakening U.S. dollar on the one hand and a bigger-than-expected increase of the Bank of England’s QE program on the other hand. A higher target is seen at 1.32 while the 1.30-level turns into a crucial support again.

The Federal Reserve made no change to asset purchases while stressing that the U.S. economy needs more fiscal and monetary policy support, opening the door to a possible shift in coming months.

As for the U.S. election, Joe Biden holds his lead in many battleground states while President Donald Trump questions the credibility of the election. The results still remain uncertain.

This crucial trading week comes to an end and the last but important report will be the U.S. non-farm payrolls report due today at 13:30 UTC.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone!

 

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2020 MaiMarFX.

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Pound Trades Resiliently Amid Brexit Headlines

Dear traders,

We welcome you to a new trading week.

Traders of the GBP/USD have been on a roller-coaster ride Friday with the pound failing to find a clear direction and trading choppily between 1.2963 and 1.2863.

The British pound was resilient to negative Brexit headlines after negotiations over a Brexit deal have stalled with Boris Johnson announcing on Friday that he will focus on preparations to leave the EU’s single market and customs union at the year-end without a trade deal. End of October/ Early November is the last likely moment a deal can be struck and implemented until year-end.

With 15 days to go until the U.S. election, polls show increasing odds of a Democratic sweep and the market thus sees increasing chances of larger economic stimulus. The upcoming election will determine main market moves and if polls suggest a too-close-to-call election volatility will rise quickly.

The final presidential debate before the U.S. election, between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden, will be live from Nashville, Tennessee on Thursday.

 

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2020 MaiMarFX.

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British Pound Climbs on Hopes of Brexit Deal

Dear traders,

It has been a rocky trading day Wednesday with the euro and cable finding a short-term support before they managed to recover some lost ground against the U.S. dollar.

The British pound climbed as investors awaited more news on Brexit negotiations. The U.K. and EU consider the end of October or first days of November as real deadline for getting a deal. The U.K. will leave the bloc’s single market and customs union with or without a new trade agreement when the 11-month transition period expires on December 31, but any deal has to be approved by the British and European parliaments before then.

The DAX hasn’t served us well yesterday and neither bullish nor bearish momentum provided any profitable trading chance.

Let’s see what today brings.

 

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2020 MaiMarFX.

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U.S. Inflation data In Focus

Dear traders,

Monday’s trading was quiet with the U.S. dollar slightly appreciating versus its peers but without any profitable trading chances. Volatility was also muted due to a public holiday in the U.S. Monday, so let’s see what Tuesday brings.

We will keep an eye on the U.S. inflation rate release today at 12:30 UTC.

Investors weigh a potential setback on progress toward a coronavirus vaccine after a report that Johnson & Johnson’s Covid-19 vaccine study has been paused due to an unexplained illness in a participant. Any delay in the Covid-19 vaccine progress is generally considered dollar positive.

The uncertainty around the U.S. election and uncertainty about the timing and effectiveness of a vaccine will be the main market movers.

EUR/USD: Resistance is currently seen at 1.18 whereas the pair may find a short-term support at 1.1770.

GBP/USD: Cable has a strong support-zone between 1.30-1.2950. For accelerated bullish momentum we will need to see the pair trading above 1.3070 with a higher target at 1.3115.

DAX: If the index falls back below 13050, we may see a dip towards 13000. Remaining above 13100 higher targets could be at 13220.

 

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2020 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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GBP/USD Holds Above 1.30

Dear Traders,

Sellers in the GBP/USD remained in control after the U.K. CPI fell short of expectations. The soft inflation report is making a BoE rate hike next month less likely than previously expected. The pound tested the 1.3010-mark but was later able to stabilize above 1.3050. Higher resistances could now come in at 1.3150 and 1.3230. As long as the pound remains below 1.3230 we may see a dip towards 1.2950.

Sterling traders may keep an eye on U.K. Retail Sales today at 8:30 UTC.

For day traders of the EUR/USD there was nothing to gain Wednesday. The euro fell victim to a strengthening dollar but losses were limited to the 1.16-handle. As long as 1.16 holds we expect the pair to trade between 1.1720 and 1.1620.

Given the liquidity drain, traders should bear in mind that trading conditions could be challenging during the summer months. A proper risk management is therefore indispensable.

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service http://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

Can U.K. Inflation Numbers Finally Lift The Pound?

Dear Traders,

The biggest story in the market was the sharp drop of the British pound as sellers have shown-up in the GBP/USD following hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. With the U.S. economy remaining in good shape despite recent worries about trade tensions, the FOMC believes that “the best way forward is to keep gradually raising the federal funds rate.” The U.S. dollar received a boost from that upbeat outlook with traders bracing for further tightening from the Fed. The market is now pricing in a 90 percent chance of a next rate hike in September and a 64 percent chance of a hike in December.

With the dollar regaining strength both euro and British pound came under increased selling pressure. The GBP/USD dropped more than 140 pips from our short entry level while the EUR/USD slid back towards 1.1650.

Today is day 2 of Powell’s testimony and traders may be looking for further gains in the dollar. We also have the U.K. June inflation numbers scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC. This will be the final piece of CPI data ahead of the BoE August rate decision so watch out for volatile movements in the GBP/USD around that important release.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service http://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

GBP/USD: Time For Bullish Breakout?

Dear Traders,

The euro proved unable to significantly overcome the 1.1720-hurdle, at least for now. Thus, there was nothing to gain for euro bulls at the beginning of this week. The British pound reversed shy off 1.33 and consolidated between 1.3250 – 1.3215. We may see more volatile movements today with U.K. employment numbers scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC.

GBP/USD: Chances remain in favor of a bullish break above 1.33 since the market is pricing in a 77 percent of a BoE rate hike next month. A higher target could be at 1.3360 followed by 1.3450.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is due to testify before the Senate today at 14:00 UTC. Powell is likely to reiterate that the U.S. economy is in a good shape but he will be grilled on the economic implications of trade wars. Traders should therefore keep an eye on USD crosses around his testimony.

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service http://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

Quiet Trading

Dear Traders,

U.S. inflation data came in line with expectations whereupon the dollar gave up some of its gains. However, the greenback had a rather mixed day while it ended yesterday’s trading day virtually unchanged against the euro and British pound.

Generally speaking, it seems that many market participants refrain from taking any larger positions now amidst the liquidity drain during the summer months. Therefore, we recommend to trade at a low risk or stay at the sidelines as long as risk events are lacking.

The Fed will deliver its monetary policy report to Congress today at 15:00 UTC.

We wish you a wonderful weekend.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service http://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co