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Signal Entries For NFP Release

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The U.S. Nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled for release today at 13:30 UTC. Our signals are only valid for around the NFP release.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Our trading ideas for today 2/2/24:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0890

Short @ 1.0840

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.2765

Short @ 1.2725

 

SL 25, TP 40

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

U.S. Dollar Weakness

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The British pound and euro reversed sharply higher last Friday after U.S. jobs data saw only 150k created in October, missing the market’s expectations of 180k. Furthermore, U.S. Treasury yield sell-off accelerated after Friday’s NFP report, which in turn weakened the U.S. dollar. There is a growing feeling that interest rates in the U.S. have peaked and that a potential recession in the next months could make rate cuts necessary.

GBP/USD

Technically, we got the price breakout we have been looking for. Sterling surged until almost 1.24 on Friday. The EMA200 oscillates at 1.2410 and if sterling bulls will want to turn the tide from bearish to bullish, they will need to stabilize sterling above 1.24. Watch out for a rise above 1.2415 now. A fresh support could now lie at around 1.2150.

EUR/USD

The euro hit 1.0746 after the 1.05-support has proved to hold. If the bullish bias continues, we will keep tabs on a break above 1.0760 in order to pencil in a higher target at around 1.0940.

DAX

The index was on the rise again and stabilized above the 15000-mark. We now see a next higher target at 15460 from where we may see stronger pullbacks. On the downside, the 15000-threshold, however, remains a crucial barrier.

This trading week will be a quieter week for traders in terms of market-moving event risks.

We will not invest too much at the start of this week.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

 

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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NFP-Day

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Here are our trading ideas for the release of U.S. payrolls data due at 13:30 UTC.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals.

Our trading ideas for today 10/3/23:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0610

Short @ 1.0565

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.1970

Short @ 1.1890

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 15440

Short @ 15390

 

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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What’s In Store For This Week?

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What will be important on the fundamental docket this week?

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell will deliver his semi-annual testimony to lawmakers on Tuesday and Wednesday. His remarks will be closely watched in terms of Fed rate expectations. The U.S. dollar will rise if Powell continues to talk up further rate hikes.

On Friday, the U.S. Payrolls are expected to show slower hiring in February. However, if we see another upside surprise, the door will be open to a stronger greenback.

DAX: We finally got a price breakout, but not to the downside as initially anticipated but to the upside and towards a test of the 15650-60 region – the latest resistance area.

EUR/USD: The pair remained in a tight trading range with a crucial support lying at around 1.05 whereas a current resistance is seen at 1.07. The next high-risk event for the euro will be next week’s ECB decision (March 16).

GBP/USD: The cable’s support at around 1.19 proved to hold so far. If U.S. payrolls data come in below expectations on Friday, it could result in a positive move for the pound.

Daily Forex and DAX Signals:

 

Our trading ideas for today 6/3/23:

EUR/USD

Long @ 1.0660

Short @ 1.0620

GBP/USD

Long @ 1.2060

Short @ 1.2020

DAX® (GER40)

Long @ 15630*

Short @ 15580

Settings for all trades today: Entries from 8:00 am UTC, SL 25, TP 40

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2023 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

Follow us on social media:

Facebook

Twitter

Instagram

 

Further U.S. Dollar Gains Ahead?

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We have entered the final quarter of the year and following last month when global stocks posted their worst performance since March 2020, the fourth quarter could be the most uncertain environment of 2021. One of the market’s main concerns is elevated inflation and after Friday’s PCE report for August came in higher-than-expected, markets could be increasing Federal Reserve rate hike bets.

This week, all eyes turn to the U.S. Nonfarm payrolls report on Friday. Economists expect a job gain of 470k in September while hourly earnings are expected to come in hotter-than expected at 4.6 percent y/y from 4.3 percent prior. If these forecasts turn out to be correct, the U.S. dollar could further appreciate. A materially lower outcome could derail the Fed from its less-dovish policy path.

Before coming to Friday’s payrolls report, we will keep tabs on the technical picture.

EUR/USD

In short-term time frames we focus on the 1.1580-support on the downside and the 1.1620-resistance on the upside. If the euro drops below 1.1580, we anticipate further losses with a next bearish target at 1.15. If the euro, however, climbs above 1.1620 we could see a test of 1.1660.

GBP/USD: Remaining below 1.36 we expect further losses towards 1.3350.

DAX: Friday’s dip below the crucial 15000-mark proved short-lived – at least until today. As long as the index fluctuates below 15650, we favor bearish movements with a next lower target at 14900. A break below 14800 could generate an even stronger sell signal towards 14400. For a bullish breakout on the other side, we would need to see prices above 15650.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2021 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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Will Payrolls Reignite The Dollar’s Strength?

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Good morning traders, it’s payrolls day again.

The U.S. jobs report will shape expectations about when the Federal Reserve might start tapering its stimulus and when to expect a rate hike. Since this is a highly awaited event risk, we will prepare for bigger moves amid possibly extreme volatility.

We saw the U.S. dollar holding a drop ahead of today’s report and going into the release, the greater impact seems to come from a stronger reading that spurs bullish momentum in the dollar. Should the reading disappoint the forecast for a 750,000 jobs increase, the greenback will further depreciate.

Looking at the EUR/USD, however, even in case of a weaker payrolls number, the rise of the euro might be limited as the pair remains overbought with a correction overdue.

The GBP/USD broke above 1.3830 and next targets could be at 1.3860 and 1.3880 but it’s the same situation as the EUR/USD: Both pairs look overbought and thus, chances are in favor of a greater impact for USD strength in case of an upbeat NFP report.

We wish everyone good trades and a beautiful weekend.

 

If you like to know how we trade the payrolls and at which price levels we enter, subscribe to our signals.

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

 

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Will The U.S. Dollar Resume Its Rally This Week?

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Anxiety about the Federal Reserve’s hawkish pivot eased and the market returned back to a sleepy sideways consolidation mode while volatility receded. The only market-moving event risk this week could be the June U.S. nonfarm payrolls report on Friday.

Economists expect that payrolls have risen by 700K in June after disappointing payrolls growth in April and May. However, while predictions in both previous months were also well above the actual figures, payrolls forecasts must be taken with a grain of salt. The lifting of pandemic-related restrictions in June, however, could have boosted new employment. This means that there could be more upside potential for the U.S. dollar in the run-up to the report.

EUR/USD: The pair stuck in a tight trading range between 1.1975 and 1.1910. Above 1.1980 we may see a test of 1.20 but with potential catalysts lacking, chances are in favor of fresh bearish momentum with the dollar may gaining traction ahead of Friday’s job report. A break below 1.1910 could reignite bearish momentum towards 1.1870 and 1.18.

GBP/USD: After the 1.40-level has proved as a resistance, the focus is on a break below the 1.38-support with a next lower target at around 1.3750.

DAX: Recently, the index didn’t see any significant movements within its uptrend channel. We continue to look at a price range between 15900 and 15400.

Daily Forex Signals:

If you are keen to know where we put Take-Profit and Stop-Loss, if we trade on a specific day or not and how we manage open positions, subscribe to our signals

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2021 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

Follow us on social media:

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Focus On BoE And NFP Report

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The U.S. dollar ended the last week higher against the euro and British pound and while the dollar’s recent strength appeared to be month-end rebalancing flows, traders wonder whether the dollar could extend its gains this week. Greenback bulls could hope for further bullish potential as long as there is a rise in U.S. Treasury yields but we bear in mind that rising near-term inflation expectations could outpace gains in U.S. Treasury yields while a dovish Federal Reserve could limit gains in the dollar.

On Friday we will have April’s non-farm payrolls report scheduled for release and almost one million jobs are anticipated to be added. The unemployment rate is also expected to decline to 5.7 percent from 6 percent in the previous month. The focus will also be on average hourly earnings for further insight into inflationary pressures.

GBP/USD

It could be a volatile week for the British pound. The Bank of England is due for its monetary policy announcement on Thursday and a QE taper could be in the cards. On the same day Scotland holds parliamentary elections which could bring back expectations of another independence referendum. Sterling could come under pressure ahead of the election as a potential referendum remains a risk for the currency.

As for Thursday’s other risk event, the Bank of England is expected to upgrade its economic projections with a stronger Q2 GDP forecast and there is a chance that the BoE will announce a slight tapering of asset purchases.

Technically, chances are slightly in favor of the bears right now with the pair eyeing the 1.38-support. If the cable falls below 1.3770, we could see a test of the lower support around 1.37 and possibly even a fall towards 1.36. However, given the possibility of a BoE taper on Thursday, losses might be limited to the support zones.

EUR/USD

The euro gave up some of its recent gains and dipped towards its crucial support at 1.20. We expect a lower support area to be at around 1.1950 from where more buyers could swoop in. A current resistance is seen at 1.2130. If the euro falls below 1.1940, bearish momentum may accelerate towards 1.1850 and 1.18.

We wish you good trades!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2021 MaiMarFX.

www.maimar.co

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Further U.S. Dollar Strength Ahead? Waiting For NFP Outcome

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Dear Traders,

Bullish exposure seems to be fading ahead of the March U.S. employment report with bears gaining control of the EUR/USD and GBP/USD. However, we are hesitant in our assessment of further dollar strength as we know that payrolls can catch traders on the wrong foot.

While U.S. job growth is expected to have slowed last month, the jobless rate was forecast to have fallen to 4.0 percent amid stronger wage growth. If the latter headline figure meets or even exceeds expectations it might be dollar-positive but traders should be careful. There is plenty of room for a surprise and volatile swings can make today’s trading difficult.

Sign-up for our professional day trading support if you want to know how we trade the NFP report.

The NFP Report is due at 12:30 UTC.

GBP/USD

The worst performing currency was the British pound which dropped below its crucial support at 1.40 and extended its slide towards 1.3965. As mentioned in previous analysis, our focus now shifts to a lower target of 1.3880, provided that the pound remains below 1.4050. A break above 1.4060, however, could encourage sterling bulls for a test of 1.41 but it all depends on the outcome of the payrolls.

EUR/USD: The euro dropped below 1.2235 and this pair seems to be heading towards 1.2190 now. A break below 1.2180 could spark bearish momentum towards 1.2150 and possibly even 1.2050 but that remains to be seen. The 1.23-level could act as a short-term resistance.

We wish you good trades and a beautiful weekend!

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

 

Quiet Trading On Easter Monday?

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Dear Traders,

European markets are still closed on Monday for the Easter holiday, so trading could be relatively quiet at the beginning of this week.

The most important piece of economic data this week will be the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Report on Friday. Today, we have the ISM Manufacturing Report scheduled for release at 14:00 UTC, which may spur some volatility in the market.

Both of our major currency pairs remained range-bound amidst a low-liquidity market environment.

EUR/USD: The euro may find some support around the 1.2250-level but if it drops below 1.2240 it may extend its slide towards 1.2190. On the top-side we see a current resistance at around 1.2480.

GBP/USD: The pound still holds above 1.40 but for how long? If that crucial barrier is significantly breached to the downside, we anticipate lower targets around 1.3880. A climb above 1.4080 may spur some bullish momentum in the market.

We wish you a good start to the new week.

 

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co