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U.S. Dollar Weakness Continues

Dear Traders,

The U.S. dollar’s weakness continued while there was nothing to prevent the euro and pound from further rising against the greenback. The British pound was able to stabilize above 1.40 on the back of positive Brexit-related news and climbed back up towards 1.4150.

The euro rose in tandem with the pound after stabilizing above 1.2455.

Given the strong uptrend in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD we could possibly see further gains but traders should be careful and watch out for potential corrections in the near-term.

EUR/USD: The euro took out the 1.25-hurdle and seems to be primed for a clear breakout above its recent trading range with the upper barrier being at 1.2540. Next hurdles could come in at 1.26 and 1.2640. While traders now may favor the upward direction, we will also pay attention to possible pullbacks towards 1.25, 1.2450 and 1.2370.

GBP/USD: The pound experienced a parabolic rise towards 1.4150 while that next barrier could serve as a make-it or break-it level. If the pound breaks the 1.4150-level significantly it could further rise towards 1.4270 and 1.43. Below 1.4065 however, bearish momentum could accelerate driving the pair back towards a test of 1.40.

It all depends on the market’s risk appetite. From a fundamental perspective, there are no major reports scheduled for release today.

Have a wonderful weekend.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

The Euro’s Fate Is In Draghi’s Hands

Dear Traders,

What a trading day! The U.S. dollar extended its slide against other major currencies on the back of protectionism while the pound’s rally intensified the uptrend in GBP/USD.

Moreover, comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin steepened the dollar’s dive. He said that” obviously a weaker dollar is good for us as it relates to trade and opportunities”, a departure from America’s traditional strong dollar policy.

Our yesterday’s long entry in the GBP/USD has proved highly profitable even though we have been on the lookout for corrections. Despite the cable’s strong uptrend which could persist over the medium-term, we may see some pullback tomorrow when both U.K. and U.S. GDP reports are due for release.

GBP/USD

The pair jumped to the highest level since June 23, 2016 – the day of the Brexit referendum. The reasons for the strong rally lie not only in the weakening dollar but also in good U.K. data and the progress in Brexit talks. On a weekly basis we got a bullish breakout suggesting that there could be accelerated bullish momentum on the way towards 1.46 – the next crucial resistance zone. As long as the pound remains above 1.40, the overall outlook remains constructive.

While the biggest story was the pound’s strong rise, the performance of the euro was not bad either. The euro broke above 1.2350 and headed towards 1.2450 ahead of the ECB meeting. Whether the euro can hold onto its high levels or can even extend its rally, will hinge on the rhetoric of Mr. Draghi at the ECB press conference at 13:30 UTC.

If ECB President Mario Draghi joins the chorus of policymakers speaking against the euro’s strength, the euro could quickly give up some of its gains. However, the devil is in the details and if Draghi fails to convince the market of the ECB’s concerns about the currency’s strength, the euro could further rise.

EUR/USD

We prepare for higher volatility today and expect larger market swings. On the topside, we will now focus on the 1.2460-barrier, which could act as a short-term resistance. For bearish momentum to accelerate, it would need a break below 1.23 and further 1.22. As long as the euro remains above 1.23 chances are in favor of the bulls.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

Euro And Cable Trend Higher And Higher And Now…Maybe Lower?

Dear Traders,

There was nothing stopping the British pound from further rising against the U.S. dollar. While we still anticipate near-term corrections in the strong performance of the GBP/USD, we need to pay attention to the solid uptrend. The pound was able to stabilize above 1.40 and if it extends its gains above 1.4060 we could possibly see a run for 1.4170. On the bottom side, we expect some fresh support coming in at 1.3950. However, traders should bear in mind that corrections are inevitable following the strong performance of the recent days and weeks. One look at the weekly chart below is enough to realize that the cable approaches overbought territory and thus faces the risk of pullbacks.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar suffered another setback against its major counterparts. U.S. President Trump’s decision to put tariffs on imported solar panels and washing machines may stoke protectionism and fears of trade wars.

The euro trended upwards, contrary to expectations, ahead of tomorrow’s ECB meeting. We still see the risk of profit-taking in the EUR/USD given the possibility of dovish comments from ECB President Draghi at tomorrow’s ECB’s press conference. For now, we expect the EUR/USD to trade between 1.2380 and 1.2250.

Important economic data that could have an impact on today’s price action:

8:30 EUR German PMI Report

9:30 UK Labor Market Report

15:00 USA Existing Home Sales

(Time Zone UTC)

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

Will Payrolls Help Or Hurt The Greenback?

Dear Traders,

It’s payrolls day again and today’s U.S. jobs numbers could matter more than usual as investors assess the possibility of a steeper Federal reserve rate hike path in 2018. While the Fed has established a commitment to gradual monetary policy pacing even under the chairmanship of Mr. Powell, job and wage growth will shape the expectations for 2018 tightening. The central bank is expected to endorse a wait-and-see approach in the first half of the next year after a last rate hike in 2017, which is widely expected to be announced on next week’s Fed meeting.

In short, there is a greater risk of disappointment than an upside surprise when coming to the latest job numbers. If job growth comes in below expectations amid slowing wage growth, the dollar will give up its recent gains. If today’s NFP report surprises to the upside, the dollar will continue to rise amid progress on the tax-cut legislation.

Traders around the world will watch the NFP release at 13:30 UTC.

GBP/USD: The pound rose against the dollar on speculation that Ireland and Britain were close to a Brexit deal. U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May will have time until Sunday to resolve the deadlocked Brexit talks. The GBP/USD jumped back towards 1.3520 after it found support at 1.3320. With the pound trading above 1.3330 we now expect the pair to head for a test of 1.3630/50.

EUR/USD: The euro further declined against the greenback and appears to be headed for a test of the falling trendline of its recent downtrend channel. We anticipate a crucial support area between 1.1740 and 1.1710 and if that threshold remains intact we could see some pullback towards 1.1805 and possibly 1.1850.

We wish you profitable trades for today and a cozy and relaxing winter weekend.

Daily Forex signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service http://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

Pound Jumps On Brexit Hopes

Dear Traders,

Many wondered yesterday what happened to the pound as it jumped more than 150 pips after falling to a weekly low of 1.3220. The high volatility was triggered by reports that the U.K. and E.U. have agreed a deal over the U.K.’s Brexit divorce bill, achieving a breakthrough in Brexit talks. The pound experienced high volatile swings in the wake of these reports and, unfortunately, some of our yesterday’s trades became victims of high volatility.

The GBP/USD could now head for a test of the 1.34-threshold and if the 1.3450-level is breached on the upside we could see sterling rallying towards 1.36. As for the bears, the bearish momentum came to an abrupt end yesterday and it will be difficult to only focus on the technical picture as the pound is mainly affected by Brexit talks.

The EUR/USD traded lower and that bearish bias can be attributed primarily to the demand for U.S. dollars. The Senate tax cut proposal advanced out of committee and toward a floor vote. With the tax reform moving closer towards realization we expect the greenback to receive a further boost. Ongoing concerns about North Korea however, seem to play a minor role for the dollar.

EUR/USD

The single currency faces a crucial support around 1.18 and if this barrier gives way to fresh bearish momentum we could see the euro falling back towards 1.1720. If 1.18 however holds, we anticipate a potential run for 1.20.

What will be important today?

The German Consumer Price Index will be release at 13:00 UTC but this report is not expected to have a major impact on the euro. From the U.S. we have revisions to the third quarter GDP scheduled for release at 13:30 UTC followed by Yellen’s appearance before the Congress at 15:00 UTC.

Daily Forex signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

Euro And Pound Soar Amid Low Liquidity

Dear Traders,

The euro and pound sterling have soared to fresh highs amid low trading volumes. The upward movement in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD was not only driven by low liquidity but also by a weakening U.S. dollar. While trading volume was low with most U.S. market participants being offline for the long holiday weekend, we saw some remarkable movement Wednesday providing us profitable trades. There was some dovish tilt in the Fed minutes which contributed to the dollar’s weakness. While a rate increase in December is almost certain, there was some concern that price pressures would fall short of the Fed’s inflation target for longer. Those remarks cooled rate hike expectations for 2018 and drove the dollar lower in turn.

The EUR/USD broke out of its recent downtrend channel and rose towards 1.1840. Whether we will see a follow-through of the recent upward trend remains to be seen but should be viewed with a critical eye. We expect a next resistance to come in at 1.1880, provided that the euro breaks the 1.1840-barrier significantly. However, given the quiet trading conditions we recommend not expecting too much. A current support is seen at 1.1750.

The GBP/USD headed towards the 1.3340-threshold and it will be interesting now whether the cable is able to break the 1.3350-level significantly or bounces back from its highs. Above 1.3360 we expect accelerated bullish momentum towards 1.34 and 1.3450. A near-term support is however seen at 1.3250.

The U.K. GDP report is due for release at 9:30 UTC and could have a major impact on the pound provided that changes are made to the revisions.

Most action is expected to take place during the European trading hours while trading should be quieter afterwards. Happy Thanksgiving to all of our U.S. traders!

Daily Forex signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service http://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

Euro And Cable Consolidate Following Strong Moves

Dear Traders,

The British pound gave up some of the gains it had made on Tuesday and fell back below 1.28. As long as the pound remains above the 1.26-mark, the recent drop could be considered a correction within the recent uptrend. We will now focus on a break above the short-term resistance at 1.2860. Once that level has been breached to the upside, sterling could make a run for 1.2950. A short-term support could however be at 1.2750 and 1.2720.

Bank of England Governor Mark Carney is scheduled to speak at an event in Washington today at 17:30 UTC and his comments could have an impact on the pound, provided that he refers to the BoE’s monetary policy.

The euro held above the 1.07-level and market participants seem to be shying away from taking any positions in the EUR/USD ahead of France’s presidential election this weekend. From a technical perspective, we see a symmetrical triangle in the 4-hour chart which could predict small breakouts.

Above 1.0720 the euro could rise towards 1.0760, whereas a break below 1.07 may send the euro towards 1.0675. However, given the risk aversion in the market we do not expect larger fluctuations within the next 48 hours.

 

From the U.S., we have the Philadelphia Fed Index due for release at 12:30 UTC but we doubt that this report will have a major impact on the greenback.

Daily Forex signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

 

GBP/USD: How High Can The Pound Go?

Dear Traders,

Markets have had a surprisingly volatile start after the Easter holidays as the shock news of a U.K. election has caused the British pound to skyrocket against the U.S. dollar. The euro traded in sympathy with the pound and was able to climb above the 1.07-barrier.

The biggest story on Tuesday was however sterling’s roller coaster ride amid U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May’s announcement in Downing Street. When May initially said she would make an announcement outside Downing Street, she offered no further explanation. Consequently, the pound dropped towards 1.2515 as a result of uncertainty. When it was clear that May announced an early election, the pound jumped to fresh highs, breaking through significant technical barriers. The announcement came as a surprise in the market and as a trader we know that surprise moves can be very profitable. And thus, every of our swing and daily signal trades have easily reached the final profit target.

The snap election that will be held on June 8 was called in order to increase May’s majority in the House of Commons before the difficult two-year negotiating period with the European Union.

GBP/USD

How high can sterling go? This is precisely the question that interest traders. In the near-term, we expect a continuation of the recent upward move, targeting at the next resistance zone around 1.29 – 1.2920. If sterling breaks through 1.2950 it may head for a test of 1.3050 – the upper resistance level. We expect a stronger resistance around 1.3050 and 1.31 that could limit further gains in the pound. On the downside, we see current support levels at 1.27 and 1.26, barriers at which bulls could take the opportunity to buy sterling at lower levels.

The euro broke through 1.07 and was able to hold above that important price level. We do not expect larger market moves ahead of the French elections as uncertainty prevails, but anything is possible. A next resistance is seen around 1.0750 and the single currency would need to break significantly above that level in order to extend potential gains towards 1.08. A crucial support-zone remains intact at around 1.0640/30.

Eurozone Consumer Prices are scheduled for release at 9:00 UTC but this report could be of minor importance.

Daily Forex signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service http://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

Can Euro And Pound Hold Onto Their High Levels?

Dear Traders,

The U.S. dollar fell to its lowest level since November as investors assessed the U.S. administration’s ability to push through promised tax cuts and infrastructure spending. That, in turn, raises doubts as to whether the Federal Reserve can raise interest rates as aggressively as had been priced in. Fed chair Janet Yellen will speak today at 16:50 UTC and dollar bulls fear that fiscal uncertainty may discourage Fed officials from taking an aggressive stance towards higher rates. In case Yellen’s tone is more cautious, the dollar could tend to fall.

Apart from Yellen’s speech, U.S. Advance Goods Trade Balance (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) are scheduled for release.

The euro broke above 1.0870 and extended its gains to a high of 1.0906. In case of a renewed break above 1.0875 we expect further bullish momentum, sending the euro higher towards 1.0920/50. A current support is however seen at around 1.0820.

The pound sterling marked a fresh high at 1.2615 while sterling traders have shrugged off tomorrow’s Brexit trigger. On Wednesday, U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May will formally trigger the start of two years Brexit negotiations and while this event poses a risk to the currency the British pound remained stable around 1.2550. Nonetheless, we expect the upward movement to be limited to 1.2650 in short-term time frames. The pound may tend to test that resistance area before we will see any major pullback.

Daily Forex signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts http://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service http://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co