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Profitable Trade: Euro Rises On ECB Rate Hike Bets

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While it was a highly profitable ‘bullish’ trading day in the EUR/USD, the GBP/USD lagged behind and provided more fake-outs than break-outs.

The market has been overly-aggressive in terms of Bank of England rate forecasts which was evident in the cable’s latest upward move towards 1.3750. The BoE raised rates as expected while the central bank’s forecast suggests further hikes are now likely in March and May with the risk of a further move in August. This hawkish outlook was however nothing that the market has not already been priced in and thus, the GBP/USD failed to generate large market moves yesterday. Governor Andrew Bailey even cautioned against thinking “rates are now on an inevitable long march upwards.”

The situation was different and much more profitable in the EUR/USD. We went long at 1.1310 and took profit at 1.1410. The euro broke out of the technical rectangle (our analysis from 3/2/22) and started its run towards 1.1480. Reason for the bullish breakout were bets on an ECB rate hike in 2022 while ECB President Christine Lagarde spoke. She refused to repeat that a rate hike was very unlikely this year. This is interpreted as less dovish and pushed the euro upwards.

Today we will have the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report on tab at 13:30 UTC but we will stay on the sidelines ahead of the report and save our weekly profits.

Have a good weekend everyone!

 

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Off To A Good Start

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The trading week started profitable.

EUR/USD: We have already reached our bullish target at 1.1220 and secured a good gain (we went long at 1.1175 yesterday).

Next price levels to watch out for: Above 1.1290 chances are slightly in favor of the bulls with higher targets seen at 1.1350 and 1.1380. If the euro, however, falls back below 1.12 (and further below 1.1180) sentiment changes in favor of the bears with lower targets seen at 1.1050 and 1.10.

Disclaimer: All trading ideas and expressions of opinion made in the articles are the personal opinion and assumption of MaiMarFX traders. They are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a specific financial instrument.

 

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Try out our new signals for cryptocurrencies:

ETH/USD

Long @ 2780

Short @ 2660

We wish you good trades!

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U.S. Dollar Weakness Continues

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Dear Traders,

The U.S. dollar’s weakness continued while there was nothing to prevent the euro and pound from further rising against the greenback. The British pound was able to stabilize above 1.40 on the back of positive Brexit-related news and climbed back up towards 1.4150.

The euro rose in tandem with the pound after stabilizing above 1.2455.

Given the strong uptrend in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD we could possibly see further gains but traders should be careful and watch out for potential corrections in the near-term.

EUR/USD: The euro took out the 1.25-hurdle and seems to be primed for a clear breakout above its recent trading range with the upper barrier being at 1.2540. Next hurdles could come in at 1.26 and 1.2640. While traders now may favor the upward direction, we will also pay attention to possible pullbacks towards 1.25, 1.2450 and 1.2370.

GBP/USD: The pound experienced a parabolic rise towards 1.4150 while that next barrier could serve as a make-it or break-it level. If the pound breaks the 1.4150-level significantly it could further rise towards 1.4270 and 1.43. Below 1.4065 however, bearish momentum could accelerate driving the pair back towards a test of 1.40.

It all depends on the market’s risk appetite. From a fundamental perspective, there are no major reports scheduled for release today.

Have a wonderful weekend.

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EUR/USD Approaches 1.1860, Next Target At 1.1905?

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Dear Traders,

As expected, there was little movement in the Forex market with U.S. markets closed for the Thanksgiving holiday. These quiet conditions may continue today which is why we advise traders not to expect too much from the market and better stay out of new engagements or take profits at smaller targets.

EUR/USD: The euro traded with a tailwind and rose towards 1.1860. Once that level is breached we may see the euro extending its gains towards 1.1895. We bear in mind that the next crucial resistance level comes in around 1.1905. As long as the pair remains above 1.1770 the near-term bias is considered slightly bullish.

GBP/USD: The cable rejected the 1.3340-barrier and dropped back below 1.33. We now expect a near-term support to come in near 1.3265 from where we may see some leg up. Once the cable breaks above 1.3340 we anticipate further gains towards 1.3370 and possibly even 1.34. However, we recommend taking a cautious approach to markets that are illiquid.

Have a nice weekend!

Daily Forex signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co