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USD Steady Ahead Of NFP Report

Dear Traders,

The British pound further weakened and we got what we were looking for in yesterday’s analysis: a breakout of a symmetrical triangle even if it was a relatively small bearish breakout with losses being limited to a low of 1.3357. If the pound remains below 1.34 we expect further bearish momentum driving GBP/USD towards 1.33. For the short-term bias to shift from bearish to slightly bullish it would need a sustained break above 1.35. A higher target would then be at 1.3650.

There was little movement in the EUR/USD Wednesday while none of our entries was triggered. The euro dropped below 1.18 but found some halt at 1.1780. Whether we will see further losses towards 1.17 remains to be seen and hinges on the risk appetite for dollars ahead of tomorrow’s NFP report. For bullish momentum to accelerate it would require a break above 1.1920.

ECB President Mario Draghi will hold a press conference as Chair of the Group of Governors and Head of Supervision (GHOS) today at 16:00 UTC. If he touches on monetary policy the euro could respond with some volatile swings.

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EUR And GBP With A Tailwind, But Do We Underestimate USD?

Dear Traders,

Both British pound and euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar Thursday, although the dollar was also strong against other currencies. The dollar received a boost after Arizona Senator John McCain said he would support the tax plan but the tax reform bill is still far from done and dusted. Votes on the tax bill will resume today and while this could be dollar-positive we bear in mind that the markets are very sensitive to tax headlines.

On the economic docket, the ISM Manufacturing report due at 15:00 UTC will receive most attention while manufacturing in the U.S. is expected to remain robust in November.

Technically speaking, we continue to favor the upward trend in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD. The pound climbed above 1.35 and was able to stabilize above that threshold. If the cable is able to take the next hurdle at 1.3550, we probably see a run for 1.36 and possibly even 1.3650. The uptrend is considered intact as long as prices remain above 1.3450/1.34. For the sentiment to sour the pound would need to break below 1.3370.

Sterling traders may keep an eye on the U.K. PMI Manufacturing at 09:30 UTC.

The euro headed towards 1.1950 after it re-tested the 1.18-support level. If the euro climbs above 1.1935 we expect further gains towards 1.20. If 1.1930 however holds, remaining a short-term resistance for euro bulls, the single currency could fall back towards 1.1830 and 1.18.

We wish you good trades and a wonderful first weekend of December.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

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EUR/USD Approaches 1.1860, Next Target At 1.1905?

Dear Traders,

As expected, there was little movement in the Forex market with U.S. markets closed for the Thanksgiving holiday. These quiet conditions may continue today which is why we advise traders not to expect too much from the market and better stay out of new engagements or take profits at smaller targets.

EUR/USD: The euro traded with a tailwind and rose towards 1.1860. Once that level is breached we may see the euro extending its gains towards 1.1895. We bear in mind that the next crucial resistance level comes in around 1.1905. As long as the pair remains above 1.1770 the near-term bias is considered slightly bullish.

GBP/USD: The cable rejected the 1.3340-barrier and dropped back below 1.33. We now expect a near-term support to come in near 1.3265 from where we may see some leg up. Once the cable breaks above 1.3340 we anticipate further gains towards 1.3370 and possibly even 1.34. However, we recommend taking a cautious approach to markets that are illiquid.

Have a nice weekend!

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

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Euro And Pound Soar Amid Low Liquidity

Dear Traders,

The euro and pound sterling have soared to fresh highs amid low trading volumes. The upward movement in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD was not only driven by low liquidity but also by a weakening U.S. dollar. While trading volume was low with most U.S. market participants being offline for the long holiday weekend, we saw some remarkable movement Wednesday providing us profitable trades. There was some dovish tilt in the Fed minutes which contributed to the dollar’s weakness. While a rate increase in December is almost certain, there was some concern that price pressures would fall short of the Fed’s inflation target for longer. Those remarks cooled rate hike expectations for 2018 and drove the dollar lower in turn.

The EUR/USD broke out of its recent downtrend channel and rose towards 1.1840. Whether we will see a follow-through of the recent upward trend remains to be seen but should be viewed with a critical eye. We expect a next resistance to come in at 1.1880, provided that the euro breaks the 1.1840-barrier significantly. However, given the quiet trading conditions we recommend not expecting too much. A current support is seen at 1.1750.

The GBP/USD headed towards the 1.3340-threshold and it will be interesting now whether the cable is able to break the 1.3350-level significantly or bounces back from its highs. Above 1.3360 we expect accelerated bullish momentum towards 1.34 and 1.3450. A near-term support is however seen at 1.3250.

The U.K. GDP report is due for release at 9:30 UTC and could have a major impact on the pound provided that changes are made to the revisions.

Most action is expected to take place during the European trading hours while trading should be quieter afterwards. Happy Thanksgiving to all of our U.S. traders!

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

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USD Weakness Sends EUR And GBP Soaring

Dear Traders,

While the House passed its version of tax bill Thursday, the U.S. dollar was little impressed and plunged during the Asian session amid low trading volumes.

The EUR/USD traded higher in the early European trading hours and we now focus on the 1.1850-barrier, which could prove crucial in terms of further bullish momentum. If the euro is able to stabilize above 1.1850, the next target is 1.1905. Sellers should, however, wait for a break below 1.1720 in order to sell euros towards 1.1670 and 1.1580.

Most attention will be paid to a speech of ECB President Mario Draghi today at 8:30 UTC, which could affect the euro’s price action.

The British pound soared on new Brexit optimism. After the U.K. has shown a “willingness to conclude a positive outcome” according to German MEP Manfred Weber, the EU is growing more confident that the current Brexit impasse will be broken and that exit talks will progress. While there might be some room for further gains in the GBP/USD, we bear in mind that as long the pair remains range-bound between 1.3340 and 1.30 there is no directional bias.

We wish you a nice weekend.

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

USD Dips On Concerns Over Tax Cut

Dear Traders,

We finally saw larger market swings Thursday with the EUR/USD finding directional bias toward the North.

The catalyst for the weakening USD was news the U.S. Senate would delay tax cuts to the corporate rate until 2019 and while a delay is not what dollar bulls want to hear right now, they sold dollars on the news.

EUR/USD: We got the price breakout we were looking for in yesterday’s technical analysis. After the break above 1.1605 the euro gained ground against the dollar and rose towards 1.1655. If the euro breaks above 1.1660 we may see a run for 1.1685 and possibly the crucial resistance zone of 1.17-1.1730. On the bottom side, we focus on dips below 1.1570 and 1.1550, that could reinvigorate fresh bearish momentum.

GBP/USD: The price action in the cable remains messy. As long as there is no directional bias, traders may have to struggle with false breakouts. We are still looking for profitable price breakouts either above 1.3165 or below 1.3090.

U.K. Manufacturing Production figures are scheduled for release at 9:30 UTC and could have a minor impact on the pound.

From the U.S. we have the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment due for release at 15:00 UTC but this report is not expected to have a major impact on the dollar.

We wish you good trades and a beautiful weekend.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

Forex Market Remains Subdued

Dear Traders,

The price action in both EUR/USD and GBP/USD remains subdued amid the lack of market-moving economic reports and risk events throughout this week.

EUR/USD: The euro stabilized above the 1.1550-level and appears to be headed for another test of the 1.1615-resistance. If the 1.1615/20-barrier gives way to fresh bullish momentum we may see the euro rising towards 1.1650/60. For bearish momentum to accelerate it would need a sustained break below 1.1520.

GBP/USD: The cable traded with a tailwind after it rejected the 1.31-support. We now focus on a potential trading range between 1.3220 and 1.3130. Sterling bulls could benefit from price breakouts above 1.3180 while bears should wait for prices below 1.3130 in order to sell sterling towards 1.31 and 1.3070.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

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GBP/USD Trends Upwards While EUR/USD Remains Stuck In Consolidation Phase

Dear Traders,

Monday was characterized by a weakening U.S. dollar which suffered a slight setback against its counterparts. The recent weakness can be attributed to uncertainty over the future monetary policy stance of the Federal Reserve. New York Fed President William Dudley plans to retire next year and with Dudley’s planned exit, the unfilled board seats create uncertainty over the Fed’s approach to policy in the coming year.

The EUR/USD extended its consolidative mode into the new week and traders are still struggling with false breakouts and limited price swings. ECB President Mario Draghi is scheduled to speak at the ECB Forum on Banking Supervision today at 9:00 UTC but these opening remarks might be not enough to free the euro from its lethargy. Technically speaking, we now wait for a break below 1.1570 to sell euros whereas on the topside, we expect potential gains to be limited until 1.1660 and 1.17 amidst subdued price action.

The best performer was the GBP/USD which rose towards 1.3180, providing buyers a good profit yesterday. The latest upward move is not surprising given the fact that the pound continues to oscillate within its range between 1.3340 and 1.30.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

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EUR/USD And GBP/USD: Rebounds May Be Short-Lived

Dear Traders,

Markets were relatively quiet at the beginning of this eventful week while both GBP/USD and EUR/USD were accompanied be a slight upward tendency. We believe that the slight rebound in the euro and British pound could be of a temporary nature as the U.S. dollar faces some event risks with the FOMC decision and Non-Farm Payrolls report on tap. Dollar bulls may tend to jump back in ahead of these events.

The EUR/USD recovered some losses towards 1.1660 but this small recovery could prove to be a correction within a downtrend. For the bias to shift from bearish to neutral euro bulls would need to push the single currency beyond 1.18. As long as the euro remains below 1.18 we favor the bearish bias and focus on a price breakout below 1.1550.

The Eurozone Consumer Price report is due for release today at 10:00 UTC but if CPI print is in line with expectations it will not affect the euro’s price action.

The GBP/USD traded with a tailwind but gains were capped at 1.3215. We consider the 1.3250-barrier to be a crucial short-term resistance in the cable. If the pound drops back below 1.3120 we may see further losses towards 1.3050.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

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Euro And Pound Sell-Off, Focus Now On U.S. GDP Data

Dear Traders,

The EUR/USD sold off on the back of a dovish ECB announcement on the one side and a strengthening U.S. dollar on the other side. European Central Bank policy makers agreed to cut monthly bond purchases in half to EUR30 billion in January but extend the bond buys at this pace until September 2018. While this outcome was exactly what the market has anticipated, Draghi said there won’t be a “sudden end to the buying” and the shift shouldn’t even be called tapering. What weakens the euro was the fact that a “large majority” of ECB policy makers favored keeping the bond buying program open-ended so they can adjust it at any time in case inflation stays sluggish. With regard to future interest rate hikes, Draghi said that rates will remain “at the present levels for an extended period of time, and well past the horizon of our net asset purchases”.

In short, the ECB’s decision can be described as slightly more dovish than euro bulls may have hoped for.

As regards the U.S. dollar, prospects for the U.S. tax reform spurred the dollar rally. The U.S. House passed a budget resolution unlocking a process to cut taxes by the end of the year. The greenback experienced broad-based gains versus other major currencies but the focus now shifts to the third-quarter GDP reading, scheduled for release today at 12:30 UTC. Even though economists are looking for slower growth of 2.6 percent, dollar bulls may take this opportunity to jump back in on pullbacks. Traders should prepare for heightened volatility around the GDP release.

EUR/USD: The euro cleared its crucial support at 1.17 and even 1.1650. After breaking below theses support levels, the case has built up for the bears and we now expect the euro to tumble towards 1.1550 but maybe not straight-lined. Former support levels could now turn into resistances with pullbacks may be limited until 1.17/1.1730.

GBP/USD

Only yesterday we have talked about the pound’s bullish break above 1.3230 which seemed to indicate further gains towards 1.33 but the opposite happened: The pound fell in tandem with the euro and headed for another test of 1.3110. If the 1.31-support breaks the previous bull breakout above 1.3230 turns out be a fake-out. In case the cable falls below 1.3085 we anticipate further losses towards 1.3030 and 1.2950.

We wish you good trades and a relaxing weekend.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co