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No Love For The U.S. Dollar On Valentine’s Day

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Dear Traders,

There was no love for the U.S. dollar on Valentine’s day, so the greenback ended up losing ground against the euro and pound despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data. As expected, the U.S. CPI report had a major impact on the dollar, driving it sharply higher right after the report came out above expectations. The dollar rally did not last long, however, as stocks began to trade higher and that better atmosphere resulted in a sell-off of the dollar.

In general, even if yesterday’s CPI did beat estimates, the inflation data seems unlikely to change the pace of Fed tightening. Therefore, we may see continued dollar weakness in medium-term time frames.

Both EUR/USD and GBP/USD launched sharp recoveries after marking fresh supports.

EUR/USD: The euro dropped to a low of 1.2275 before bears were handing over control to the bulls. That shift in sentiment has sent the euro sharply higher and we now see the single currency trading around 1.2480 following yesterday’s 2-percent-surge. For traders it will now be interesting whether the euro is able to take out the next hurdle at 1.2485 before it faces the resistance zone between 1.2515- 1.2540. A break of these barriers might be possible but given the absence of fresh catalysts bullish momentum might be running out of steam. A current support is still seen at 1.23.

GBP/USD: The pound broke above 1.40 after finding support at the round number of 1.38. For bullish momentum to accelerate the pound will need to break above 1.4070. A higher target could then be at 1.4150. As long as 1.38 holds, chances are in favor of the bulls.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

High Volatility Led To Unsteady Currency Movements

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Dear Traders,

The Bank of England surprised investors with a hawkish twist yesterday and warned that rate hikes may be faster and larger than originally anticipated. This hawkish tone caught the market by surprise and led to high volatility and a short squeeze in GBP/USD. While sterling bulls were able to benefit from the rapid surge to a high of 1.4067, the upward move turned out to be only short-lived and traders had to be quick to take the profit.

To sum it up, the BoE lifted its forecasts for economic growth and said interest rates may need to rise at a steeper pace than previously thought. BoE policymakers now see three rate hikes over the course of three years while the market is now pricing in a 70 percent chance of a rate increase in May, up from nearly 50 percent yesterday.

While the BoE’s hawkishness should pave the way for further gains in the pound, it were high volatility and ongoing Brexit uncertainty that prevented the currency from rising further against the U.S. dollar.

We were able to book a good profit yesterday by trading our daily long signal.

The euro ended the day unchanged against the greenback after it dropped to a low of 1.2212. For euro bears, however, the downward move has proved insufficient to provide a sustained profit. Prices in the EUR/USD narrowed, suggesting that we may see some upcoming breakout of that tight range. If the euro climbs above 1.2265 we may get another test and potential break of 1.2295. A higher target could then be at 1.2330. If the euro, however, falls below 1.2240 it could further decline towards 1.22. A lower target could then be at 1.2150.

There are no major economic reports scheduled for release today. U.K. Manufacturing Production is the only second-tier report scheduled for release at 9:30 UTC.

Have a nice weekend.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

BoE Super Thursday To Provide Trading Opportunity For Sterling Traders

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Dear Traders,

It’s Super Thursday at the Bank of England, which means we get a rate decision along with the Quarterly Inflation Report and comments from BoE Governor Mark Carney. Today’s meeting is the most important event this week and sterling traders prepare for volatile swings around the monetary policy announcement. The big question among market participants is how hawkish the BoE might be towards the end of this year. The market is fully pricing in a rate increase at the BoE’s Super Thursday in November while market participants see a 50/50 chance of an earlier rate hike in May. If evidence points to a rate rise in May, the pound will rally and may find its way back to 1.42. However, if the tone in today’s statement is not as hawkish as traders are hoping, the pound will fall.

The focus will also be on the inflation report and if economic growth and inflation forecasts are revised higher, GBP/USD could recover some of its recent losses.

There is also the possibility of a muted response following today’s statement. Brexit risks continue to cause uncertainty about the outlook and if those risks have not changed substantially, the market’s reaction to the statement could be muted.

We will know more today at 12:00 UTC.

GBP/USD: The cable found some support around 1.3850 and if this barrier is breached to the downside we expect further losses towards 1.3750. For bullish momentum to accelerate, it would however need a sustained break above 1.40.

EUR/USD: The euro broke out of its recent sideways trend channel and fell towards 1.2240. The break below 1.23 came despite Angela Merkel’s deal with the SPD to form a great coalition in Germany. Technically speaking, the chances are now in favor of further downside potential driving the pair towards 1.2220 and 1.2170. If the euro rises back above 1.2350, bulls may take over control.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

 

FX Market Less Influenced By Equity Selloff And Subsequent Rebound

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Dear Traders,

The Forex market was less influenced by the selloff in equities at the beginning of this week. While the recent crash and subsequent recovery in equities have sparked a wave of volatility in global markets, the moves in forex have been more conservative.

The EUR/USD remained resilient and ended the trading day virtually unchanged after bouncing off near the 1.2310/00-support level. As long as the euro trades between 1.25 and 1.23 there is nothing new to report.

The GBP/USD dropped amid heightened volatility towards 1.3830 from where a relief rally started, erasing earlier losses with a rebound towards 1.40. At the end of the day, the pound ended the trading unchanged against the dollar. Traders should now prepare for larger swings with Brexit talks and Super Thursday looming.

GBP/USD

Looking at the daily chart we see that bearish momentum is fading after the pound stopped its fall above 1.3830. While we expected lower targets to be at 1.3830 and 1.38, we now prepare for potential pullbacks. If the pound climbs back above 1.40 and is able to stabilize above that threshold, we anticipate further bullish momentum towards 1.42 and possibly even a break above 1.43. That bullish scenario is however not a foregone conclusion as sellers may re-emerge.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

 

Greenback Continues Recovery But Today It’s Turn-Around Tuesday

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Dear Traders,

The U.S. dollar continued its recovery against all major currency pairs and thus, pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD trended lower at the start of this week. While short traders were able to book a profit yesterday we recommend a cautious approach when expecting further bearish momentum. On so-called ‘turn-around Tuesdays’ there is a risk that we may see some pullback following Monday’s decline.

GBP/USD: The cable broke below the psychological level of 1.40 and, as mentioned in our yesterday’s analysis, chances could be in favor of the bears now. A next lower target could be around the 1.39-barrier and if 1.39 breaks, the pound may drift lower towards 1.3830/00.

For bullish momentum to accelerate, the pound would need to climb back above 1.4030.

As for the EUR/USD, we still see the pair trading within its recent sideways trading range while remaining above 1.2335. As long as 1.23 holds, we anticipate pullbacks towards 1.2430/40. Higher resistances are seen at 1.2480 and 1.2540. If the euro, however, falls below 1.2290, we expect further losses towards 1.22.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

U.S. Dollar Weaker Ahead Of NFPs

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Dear Traders,

The best performing currency pair on Thursday was the EUR/USD, which took another glimpse above 1.25 but was yet unable to hold that level. Our yesterday’s long signal has proved profitable while euro bulls lie in wait for a next leg up, targeting at 1.27. The question whether the single currency could be vulnerable to further gains will mainly depend on the demand for dollars following today’s U.S. labor market data.

One reason for the euro’s surge were reports that some ECB policymakers are pushing President Mario Draghi to give investors clearer guidance on when rates might rise. In a nutshell, these rumors confirm that the ECB is comfortable with the euro’s appreciation.

The most prominent event risk on the last trading day of this week will be the January Non-Farm Payrolls at 13:30 UTC and if payrolls exceed expectations combined with an uptick in wage growth we could see the dollar recovering some of its recent losses. However, traders should bear in mind that given the dollar’s strong downtrend, market participants might be inclined to sell USD at higher levels.

Recently, the release of the monthly NFP report failed to generate extreme volatility in the market, which is why traders now brace for a more muted market reaction. Whatever the case, we will prepare for both bullish and bearish scenarios.

EUR/USD

The current uptrend channel is still intact and after the euro refrained from falling below 1.2385 the chances are in favor of further bullish momentum, driving the pair towards 1.2650 and possibly 1.27.

GBP/USD: There has been no significant correction in the recent performance of the cable with the pair following a clear uptrend. How the cable will trade within the next hours will however depend on the outcome of the payrolls. If the pound finds its way above 1.43 we focus on higher targets at 1.4380 and 1.4450. For bearish momentum to accelerate, the pound would first need to fall below 1.4220 and further 1.4185.

Have a beautiful weekend!

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

USD Unfazed By FOMC Meeting

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Dear Traders,

There was little consistency in the performance of the U.S. dollar following the FOMC meeting. As expected, there was no policy change, so the market is now pricing in a nearly 100 percent chance of a next rate hike in March. The greenback ended the trading day virtually unchanged against the euro and British pound.

As recommended for subscribers, we did not trade yesterday since we secured our monthly profits. Thus, we did not lose any pips of our monthly performance.

EUR/USD: The pair traded recently sideways between 1.2475 and 1.2385. For euro bulls we recommend waiting for a sustained break above 1.25 in order to participate in the euro’s uptrend. If the euro, however, falls back below 1.24 we may get a retest of 1.2350/30.

GBP/USD: The cable traded with a tailwind and climbed above 1.42. That break was however not sustained, at least until now. If the pound takes out the 1.4235-barrier we may see a run for 1.4285. Sterling bears might wait for a sustained break below 1.41.

Interesting economic reports today:

9:30 UK PMI Manufacturing

15:00 USA ISM Manufacturing

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

The Euro’s Fate Is In Draghi’s Hands

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Dear Traders,

What a trading day! The U.S. dollar extended its slide against other major currencies on the back of protectionism while the pound’s rally intensified the uptrend in GBP/USD.

Moreover, comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin steepened the dollar’s dive. He said that” obviously a weaker dollar is good for us as it relates to trade and opportunities”, a departure from America’s traditional strong dollar policy.

Our yesterday’s long entry in the GBP/USD has proved highly profitable even though we have been on the lookout for corrections. Despite the cable’s strong uptrend which could persist over the medium-term, we may see some pullback tomorrow when both U.K. and U.S. GDP reports are due for release.

GBP/USD

The pair jumped to the highest level since June 23, 2016 – the day of the Brexit referendum. The reasons for the strong rally lie not only in the weakening dollar but also in good U.K. data and the progress in Brexit talks. On a weekly basis we got a bullish breakout suggesting that there could be accelerated bullish momentum on the way towards 1.46 – the next crucial resistance zone. As long as the pound remains above 1.40, the overall outlook remains constructive.

While the biggest story was the pound’s strong rise, the performance of the euro was not bad either. The euro broke above 1.2350 and headed towards 1.2450 ahead of the ECB meeting. Whether the euro can hold onto its high levels or can even extend its rally, will hinge on the rhetoric of Mr. Draghi at the ECB press conference at 13:30 UTC.

If ECB President Mario Draghi joins the chorus of policymakers speaking against the euro’s strength, the euro could quickly give up some of its gains. However, the devil is in the details and if Draghi fails to convince the market of the ECB’s concerns about the currency’s strength, the euro could further rise.

EUR/USD

We prepare for higher volatility today and expect larger market swings. On the topside, we will now focus on the 1.2460-barrier, which could act as a short-term resistance. For bearish momentum to accelerate, it would need a break below 1.23 and further 1.22. As long as the euro remains above 1.23 chances are in favor of the bulls.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

Euro And Cable Trend Higher And Higher And Now…Maybe Lower?

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Dear Traders,

There was nothing stopping the British pound from further rising against the U.S. dollar. While we still anticipate near-term corrections in the strong performance of the GBP/USD, we need to pay attention to the solid uptrend. The pound was able to stabilize above 1.40 and if it extends its gains above 1.4060 we could possibly see a run for 1.4170. On the bottom side, we expect some fresh support coming in at 1.3950. However, traders should bear in mind that corrections are inevitable following the strong performance of the recent days and weeks. One look at the weekly chart below is enough to realize that the cable approaches overbought territory and thus faces the risk of pullbacks.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar suffered another setback against its major counterparts. U.S. President Trump’s decision to put tariffs on imported solar panels and washing machines may stoke protectionism and fears of trade wars.

The euro trended upwards, contrary to expectations, ahead of tomorrow’s ECB meeting. We still see the risk of profit-taking in the EUR/USD given the possibility of dovish comments from ECB President Draghi at tomorrow’s ECB’s press conference. For now, we expect the EUR/USD to trade between 1.2380 and 1.2250.

Important economic data that could have an impact on today’s price action:

8:30 EUR German PMI Report

9:30 UK Labor Market Report

15:00 USA Existing Home Sales

(Time Zone UTC)

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

Pound Breaks Above 1.40 – What’s Next?

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Dear Traders,

The best performer at the beginning of this week was undoubtedly the British pound which took a short glimpse above 1.40 amidst a more upbeat mood among investors regarding Brexit talks. The pound rose to a high of 1.4003 in Asia trading and we are still somewhat skeptical about the potential for further upward movement given an overbought situation. The strong uptrend in the GBP/USD depends not only on the weakness of the U.S. dollar, but also on positive U.K. data.

However, we were able to book a good profit yesterday by trading our long entry.

GBP/USD: Based on the pound’s general strength, we recommend sterling bulls to focus on a price range between 1.4110 and 1.3920. Below 1.3915 we anticipate deeper corrections towards 1.3850.

EUR/USD: The euro traded with a tailwind and rose towards the upper barrier of its current sideways trend channel. If the 1.23-barrier is significantly breached we expect further upside momentum driving the currency towards 1.2365. Current supports are seen at 1.2230, 1.2210 and 1.2165.

The German ZEW Survey is due for release at 10:00 UTC and could have a minor impact on the price action in the euro.

Daily Forex Signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2018 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co