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GBP/USD Ignores Dollar Strength After BoE’s Surprise Divison

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Dear Traders,

The market digests the Fed’s hawkish policy shift and sends the U.S. dollar higher. The euro declined on the back of a strengthening dollar and thus, EUR/USD headed towards the lower barrier of its recent sideways trend channel. We now expect a next support to come in at 1.11 and 1.1070. Current resistance levels are however seen at 1.12/1.1225.

While the EUR/USD was the best performer for day traders Thursday, the GBP/USD went on a roller coaster ride after the Bank of England’s split came as a surprise for sterling traders. The pound rose against the dollar after a surprise division within the BoE’s monetary policy committee, with three members of the MPC voting for a rate increase. Given this hawkish shift despite the uncertainty that follows last week’s U.K. election, a rate hike may be closer than the market currently expects. The pound rose towards 1.28 in an initial reaction to the MPC statement. A break above 1.2820 may send the pound higher towards 1.2860 while a sustained rally in the GBP/USD might be difficult given the renewed strength in the USD. Sterling bears may however wait for a renewed break below 1.2720 in order to sell pounds towards 1.2650.

Having gained a good profit this week we recommend securing your weekly profits today.

Have a wonderful weekend!

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Pound’s Upward Movement Could Be Limited

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Dear Traders,

It has been a profitable trading day for sterling bears and so we were able to benefit from the fall in the pound while our short trade has hit all profit targets. The pound slid to a low of 1.2638 on political uncertainty following last week’s snap election.

The most important piece of U.K. data will be the Consumer Price report scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC. CPI data is expected to print 2.7 percent in May, unchanged from the prior month. A disappointing CPI figure could however increase the pressure on the pound.

GBP/USD

Watch out for higher resistances. From a technical perspective, there could be an upper barrier at around 1.2730/40, a level from where sellers may take the opportunity to sell pounds. If that barrier proves correct, we will shift our focus to the 1.2635-mark. A break of that support level may result in a steeper slide towards 1.2530.

The euro traded more or less unchanged against the U.S. dollar on Monday. Germany’s ZEW survey, due for release at 9:00 UTC will draw euro traders’ attention. However, given the euro’s recent sideways trading range, gains might be limited until 1.1270/80.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

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Profitable Trading Day For Sterling Bears

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Dear Traders,

What a trading day – at least for sterling traders that sold pounds on the initial exit polls. Before we start to explain the reason for sterling’s knee-jerk decline let us allow to be enthusiastic about our short trade which has hit the profit target of 140 pips within less than one minute after initial results showed the U.K. faces a hung parliament. We hope that many of you were also able to capture the profitable downward move in the GBP/USD, even though some orders may have got triggered a few pips lower due to high slippage.

In sum, the U.K. vote is a disaster for Theresa May as the ruling Conservative Party is falling short of an overall majority. A hung parliament is considered a nightmare scenario for sterling investors as the U.K.’s course and Brexit path are much more uncertain now. We remember that Prime Minister Theresa May has called this snap election to win a comfortable majority but the opposite happened: the Conservatives are losing seats instead of winning seats. Consequently, May lost her bet. She will now need to resign or try to form a new government.

The pound dropped as much as 2.5 percent on the new round of political uncertainty. The 1.27-level served as a short-term support but if the pound drops below 1.2690 we could see further losses towards 1.26 and 1.24. If the pound climbs back above 1.28, we expect a resistance to come in at 1.2850 and 1.29.

The ECB decision and testimony from former FBI director Comey did little to impact the price action in the euro and U.S. dollar. The EUR/USD traded slightly lower on Comey’s testimony but remained within a narrow trading range between 1.1265 and 1.1180. As long as the euro remains confined to a sideways range of 1.1285 – 1.1150, there is nothing new to report.

With no major risk events being on tap today, the price action could be muted.

Have a good weekend and remember to secure your weekly profits.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

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Euro Traders Profit From Weakening U.S. Dollar

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Dear Traders,

The U.S. dollar is taking its cue from political turmoil surrounding the Trump administration. In times of political uncertainty and unpredictability in the U.S., many investors got rid of their dollar positions which contribute to the recent dollar weakness. The euro, in return, benefited from the weakening greenback and rose towards 1.1175. There is no major resistance until 1.12, so euro bulls may tend to test that level before taking profits on euro long positions. Following the strong rally in the EUR/USD and four consecutive days of higher highs the pair finds itself in overbought territory, a fact that increases the likelihood of near-term corrections.

While we see a next hurdle at around 1.12, a break above 1.1220 could push the euro even higher towards 1.13. However, traders should now prepare for potential corrections. Current support levels are seen at 1.11, 1.1080 and 1.1020.

There are no major economic reports scheduled for release from the Eurozone but it might be worth watching ECB President Draghi‘s remarks on monetary policy when he speaks in Tel Aviv at 17:00 UTC.

The pound sterling was accompanied by a slight upward tilt, even if the 1.30-resistance level still remains unbroken. Once that level is breached to the upside, we could see sterling rising towards 1.3040 and possibly even 1.3120.

The U.K. Retail Sales report is due for release at 8:30 UTC and could have an impact on the price action in the cable. If the pound drops back below 1.2930 it could find a next halt at around 1.2870.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

 

Will U.K. CPI Data Prompt Sterling Bulls For A Run For 1.30?

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Dear Traders,

Euro bulls have regained control and pushed the EUR/USD up to a test of 1.10 this morning. Traders are now on the look-out for a sustained upside-break of that psychological level. If the euro breaks above 1.1023, the opening price following the first round of French elections, we see chances of a climb towards 1.1070. On the bottom side, we expect a current support to be around 1.09. The most important piece of Eurozone data this morning will be the Gross Domestic Product for the first quarter, scheduled for release at 9:00 UTC. At the same time, the German ZEW Survey is due for release. Any upside surprises could translate into further euro strength.

The British pound found some halt near 1.2880 after an attempt to break the 1.2940-level has failed. All eyes will be on the Consumer Price report, scheduled for release at 8:30 UTC and if inflation data is upbeat, the pound could trade higher targeting 1.2970 and 1.3020. Current support levels are however seen at 1.2860 and 1.28.

Daily Forex signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

 

Euro Bulls Profit From U.S. Dollar Weakness

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Dear Traders,

The U.S. dollar traded lower against the euro and British pound after U.S. retail sales and CPI data fell short of estimates. Following Friday’s softer reports, the odds for a Federal Reserve rate increase next month have fallen to about 70 percent, even though data was still good enough to bolster the case for tightening in June.

EUR/USD

The euro rose towards its 1.0950-resistance after re-testing the current support zone ranging from 1.0855 to 1.0820. We will now pay close attention to a renewed break above 1.0950 which could result in a climb towards 1.1050.

Despite the low-volatile market environment there might be a catalyst for some swings throughout this week. The German ZEW Survey is due for release on Tuesday, followed by the Eurozone Consumer Price Report which is due on Wednesday and a speech of ECB President Draghi on Thursday.

GBP/USD

The pound sterling remained range-bound between 1.2990 and 1.2845 and traders still wait for, at least, a test of 1.30. It could be an interesting week for sterling traders with U.K. Consumer Prices (Tuesday), Employment data (Wednesday) and Retail Sales (Thursday) scheduled for release. Most of these reports are expected to surprise to the upside, so we may see a run for 1.30 and possibly even a test of 1.3050.

A bearish break below 1.2750 however, could increase bearish momentum towards lower targets around 1.26.

Daily Forex signals:

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

Euro And Cable Test Crucial Support Levels On USD Strength

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Dear Traders,

Sellers in the EUR/USD and GBP/USD profited from a stronger U.S. dollar on Tuesday. The current strength in the greenback is of a more technical nature since market participants are tending to take profit on long positions when currency pairs approach overbought territory. Hence, a pullback was the logical consequence. Moreover, the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle is keeping the demand for U.S. dollars at higher levels. While the euro dropped towards 1.0860 on a strengthening greenback, the pound sterling remained relatively stable ahead of tomorrow’s ‘Super Thursday’. While the Bank of England is unlikely to change its policy anytime soon, officials may raise their inflation forecasts in the central bank’s quarterly inflation report which should have a positive impact on the pound.

Based on the overall resilience of the pound, it can be seen that investors prepare for a positive outcome of tomorrow’s inflation report. Technically, we believe that there could be some room for further gains in the GBP/USD. If the pound makes it through 1.2965, we could possibly see a run for 1.30/1.3020.

EUR/USD

Is the euro’s recent downward move only a correction within its uptrend or a trend reversal? As long as the price remains above 1.0820, the recent downward movement can be considered a normal correction. If the euro falls below 1.0820, filling up the gap until 1.0740 it could be considered a steeper correction but still, bullish sentiment could be intact. Only a break below 1.0650 would change the bias in favor of the bears. On the topside, we will pay attention to the 1.10 and 1.1050-resistance levels.

From a fundamental perspective, there are no major economic reports scheduled for release today so the price action could be oriented towards technical barriers.

ECB President Mario Draghi is due to speak in Dutch Parliament at 11:00 UTC. Any comments on the ECB’s monetary policy could have an impact on the euro.

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

Forex Market Is Fairly Quiet In The Absence Of Market Movers

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Dear Traders,

While concerns over French elections have disappeared after the market-favorable Macron victory, the euro’s response was anything but enthusiastic. Rather, the single currency favored lower price targets near 1.0915 after having rejected the 1.10-resistance. Euro traders should now pay attention to the 1.0890-support level which may prove to be the new lower bound of the euro’s current upward trend channel. If the 1.0890-support gives way to bearish pressure, the focus shifts to a break of 1.0850 and further 1.0820. On the topside we will pay attention to a potential re-test of 1.10 which could result in a sustained bullish breakout. In the absence of catalyst to spur further momentum we expect the EUR/USD to trade between 1.10 and 1.0895.

The GBP/USD did not move much and traded within a narrow 55-pips trading range. Ahead of the BoE’s quarterly inflation report on Thursday sterling traders may refrain from taking any risks, which is why we anticipate sideways movements between 1.30 and 1.2860. In short-term time frames we expect a next support at around 1.29, whereas a lower resistance could be at 1.2975.

Daily Forex signals:

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

 

GBP/USD: How High Can The Pound Go?

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Dear Traders,

Markets have had a surprisingly volatile start after the Easter holidays as the shock news of a U.K. election has caused the British pound to skyrocket against the U.S. dollar. The euro traded in sympathy with the pound and was able to climb above the 1.07-barrier.

The biggest story on Tuesday was however sterling’s roller coaster ride amid U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May’s announcement in Downing Street. When May initially said she would make an announcement outside Downing Street, she offered no further explanation. Consequently, the pound dropped towards 1.2515 as a result of uncertainty. When it was clear that May announced an early election, the pound jumped to fresh highs, breaking through significant technical barriers. The announcement came as a surprise in the market and as a trader we know that surprise moves can be very profitable. And thus, every of our swing and daily signal trades have easily reached the final profit target.

The snap election that will be held on June 8 was called in order to increase May’s majority in the House of Commons before the difficult two-year negotiating period with the European Union.

GBP/USD

How high can sterling go? This is precisely the question that interest traders. In the near-term, we expect a continuation of the recent upward move, targeting at the next resistance zone around 1.29 – 1.2920. If sterling breaks through 1.2950 it may head for a test of 1.3050 – the upper resistance level. We expect a stronger resistance around 1.3050 and 1.31 that could limit further gains in the pound. On the downside, we see current support levels at 1.27 and 1.26, barriers at which bulls could take the opportunity to buy sterling at lower levels.

The euro broke through 1.07 and was able to hold above that important price level. We do not expect larger market moves ahead of the French elections as uncertainty prevails, but anything is possible. A next resistance is seen around 1.0750 and the single currency would need to break significantly above that level in order to extend potential gains towards 1.08. A crucial support-zone remains intact at around 1.0640/30.

Eurozone Consumer Prices are scheduled for release at 9:00 UTC but this report could be of minor importance.

Daily Forex signals:

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We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co

 

 

Wild Wednesday: Anything Is Possible, Even A Disappointment Despite Fed Tightening

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Dear Traders,

It’s Fed-decision day and the waiting finally comes to an end. After several days of range-bound conditions and low volatility, traders now prepare for volatile swings and trend-setting movements. The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike is completely priced in while the U.S. dollar shrugged off the bullish bias. The greenback’s reluctance to commit to further tightening suggests that dollar bulls might be unimpressed by the FOMC policy announcement.

The Fed’s monetary policy decision will be announced at 18:00 UTC but the impact on the dollar could be muted as traders appear to be well prepared for a March rate hike. The spotlight however, will be on the following press conference with Fed Chair Janet Yellen and revised rate path projections. Economists expect the path for rates to include three hikes this year and in case of a steeper tightening path, the dollar will rally. However, there is a greater potential for disappointment and if Yellen sounds more balanced, preferring a wait-and-see mode, the dollar will be vulnerable to losses.

All eyes will be on the FOMC announcement but before that major risk event, traders should also pay attention to U.S. Consumer Prices, scheduled for release at 12:30 UTC.

Apart from the Fed decision, elections in the Netherlands will draw the focus back on the euro’s resilience. The Dutch vote is the biggest test of the strength and resilience of the populist surge this year. The euro could therefore tend to fluctuate sharply towards the end of the American trading session.

EUR/USD

From a technical perspective, we expect bearish momentum to accelerate if the euro falls below 1.0570. Lower targets could then be at 1.05 and 1.0380. A short-term resistance is however seen at around 1.0650. If the euro significantly breaks through that resistance-level we may see further gains towards 1.07 and 1.0790.

 

GBP/USD

Today’s short squeeze in the British pound was an impressive reminder that there is still potential for exaggerated movements. The pound surged to a high of 1.2257, which is considered a current resistance-zone in the cable. Above 1.2260 we may see further gains toward 1.23 but everything is possible today and the price action will also hinge on the appetite for USD. We generally anticipate the cable to remain within a range between 1.24 and 1.21 for the time being. On the bottom side, the pound will need to break below 1.2080 in order to invigorate fresh bearish momentum.

The U.K. employment report is due for release at 9:30 UTC and could have a minor impact on the pound.

 

Daily Forex signals:

Additional daily and long-term entries are available for subscribers.

View our daily signal alerts https://www.maimar.co/category/daily-signals/

Subscribe to our daily signal service https://www.maimar.co/signals/

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Copyright © All Rights Reserved 2017 Maimar-FX.

www.maimar.co