The U.S. dollar initially rose against the euro and British pound Monday morning but then ended the trading day virtually unchanged. Given these limited bearish movements, there wasn’t much to gain for short traders.
The cable has pushed down to a low of 1.3390 but the pair was able to stabilize above 1.34. Whether the 1.34-barrier will hold, remains to be seen but as long as GBP/USD remains below 1.35 we generally maintain a bearish stance in this pair. A significant break above 1.35 would shift the focus back to a previous sideways trading range between 1.36-1.35.
BoE Governor Carney will testify before parliament this morning at 8:15 UTC. Any new comments on inflation or monetary policy changes could get the pound moving.
The euro bounced off the 1.1715-level and corrected previous losses towards 1.18. The downtrend is still intact and as long as EUR/USD remains below 1.1850 we anticipate lower supports to come in at 1.1680 and 1.16.
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