This week started with some volatile swings in the Forex market with GBP/USD being the most volatile currency pair on Monday. The British pound dropped again towards its current support at 1.2910 before it started a relief rally. The cable has been torn between the rising fears of a “hard Brexit” and the weakening dollar. The euro, however, rebounded against the U.S. dollar and the pair tested its resistance zone around 1.1275/85. As stated in yesterday’s analysis euro bulls should better wait for prices above 1.13 and even better above 1.1350. As long as the euro remains below 1.13, our focus shifts to a break of the 1.12-support.
The pound sterling traded volatile during the Asian session as the first U.S. presidential debate is in full swing. A Clinton win is seen as dollar-positive while a Trump victory would lead to chaos in the markets and has not yet been priced in. Investors remain risk-averse in the run-up to the presidential election in November and seek safe havens. Recent polls show a close head-to-head contest between the two candidates.
Apart from the U.S. debate and safe haven flows, U.S. Consumer Confidence, due at 14:00 UTC could have an impact on the greenback.
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